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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 18 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PIT 27 (+2.5) CIN 23 Upset Pick +115 High Confidence Picks IND 24 (-3) JAX 16 Medium Confidence Picks BAL 31 (-17.5) CLE 9 PHI 23 (-2.5) NYG 17 Low Confidence Picks BUF 17 NE 16 (+3) LAC 24 (-6.5) LV 16 GB 31 (-10) CHI…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2024 Week 18 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-13) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-3) The Eagles are resting some key starters in this game, locked into the #2 seed in the NFC regardless of the outcome of this game. Normally I don’t like to bet on games where one team is resting their starter because they…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2024 Week 18 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12) at Indianapolis Colts (7-9) The Colts lost last week in embarrassing fashion, losing as 7-point favorites against one of the worst teams in the league in the New York Giants. Not only that, but that loss essentially ended the Colts season, as it caused them to be…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2024 Week 18 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (8-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) Dating back to Mike Tomlin’s first season in Pittsburgh in 2007, the Steelers have been a great bet as underdogs, going 57-40 ATS, including 17-7 ATS as home underdogs, 24-11 ATS as divisional underdogs, and 7-1 ATS as divisional home underdogs. The Bengals…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2024 Week 18 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (3-13) at Baltimore Ravens (11-5) The Ravens are one of the few teams this week that actually has something to play for, as they can lock up the AFC North and the #3 seed in the AFC with a win this week over the Browns. The Ravens are…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 17 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL 24 (+4.5) WAS 23 Upset Pick +175 High Confidence Picks TB 35 (-8) CAR 20 PHI 24 (-7) DAL 10 Medium Confidence Picks BAL 26 (-5.5) HOU 17 LAC 26 (-5.5) NE 17 DET 24 SF 23 (+3.5) MIA 12 CLE 10 (+3.5) Low Confidence…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns: 2024 Week 17 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (7-8) at Cleveland Browns (3-12) Earlier in the week, the Dolphins were favored by 6.5 in this game in Cleveland against the Dolphins, but quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Jaylen Waddle have since been ruled out and this line has dropped to 3.5. I originally had a…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers: 2024 Week 17 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (13-2) at San Francisco 49ers (6-9) These two teams met in the NFC Championship game last season, with the 49ers narrowly pulling out the victory at home, but things have gone very differently for these two teams since then, as the Lions have arguably been even better than…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 2024 Week 17 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (11-4) at Minnesota Vikings (13-2) These two teams are pretty evenly matched. The Packers have a big edge in yards per play differential (+1.08 vs. +0.36), while the Vikings have a big edge in first down rate differential (+3.54% vs. +1.98%). In my roster rankings, these two…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2024 Week 17 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-11) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) The Panthers pulled off an upset win over the Cardinals last week, but that puts them in a bad spot this week, as teams cover at just a 43.6% rate as underdogs of four or more after an upset win as underdogs…
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