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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (7-3) at Green Bay Packers (8-3) The Packers’ lost to the Vikings last week, their second loss of the season with Aaron Rodgers under center and their third loss overall, dropping them to 8-3, after a 7-1 start. The Packers have bigger concerns though. Even when they…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (5-5) at San Francisco 49ers (5-5) The 49ers are just 5-5, but they have a point differential that is better than their record at +24, despite dealing with a significant amount of injury absences, many of whom have since returned, and despite a -5 turnover margin, 5th worst…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-7) The Dolphins started this season 1-7, but they have won three straight to push their record to a somewhat respectable 4-7. That, combined with the Dolphins being 10-6 a year ago, has caused the public to think this is no longer one of…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) The Falcons are 4-6, but they are much worse than even their mediocre record suggests. While all four of their wins have come by one score against mediocre at best opponents, four of their six losses have been blowout defeats by 20 points…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (6-5) at Baltimore Ravens (7-3) The Browns are 6-5, but they could easily have a couple more wins, as they have faced a tough schedule and have three one-score losses, including a pair of games in which they won the first down rate and yards per play battle,…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (8-3) at New England Patriots (7-4) Normally, I like to go against significant week-to-week line movements like the one in this matchup, with the Patriots moving from 3-point favorites on the early line last week to 7-point favorites, but in this case, this is just the line catching…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (3-7) at Detroit Lions (0-9-1) Both of these teams are dealing with injuries to their expected starting quarterback. The Bears’ situation is less concerning, with experienced veteran Andy Dalton being the backup. Dalton obviously lacks the upside or athleticism of rookie starting quarterback Justin Fields, but he is…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-5) The Saints are 5-5, but they aren’t anywhere near as good as their record in their current injury situation, arguably the worst in the league. Already without their top wide receiver Michael Thomas for the whole season, the Saints’ offense lost starting…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys: 2021 Week 12 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3) In non-divisional Thursday games like this, typically a home favorite is at a significant advantage. It’s very tough for an inferior team to go on the road on a short week and play a superior team that is not in their division…
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Continue reading →: 2021 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI -2.5 vs. NO High Confidence Picks NYJ +3.5 vs. MIA Medium Confidence Picks NE -7 @ ATL SF -6.5 @ JAX IND +7.5 @ BUF LAC -5 vs. PIT LV +1 vs. CIN MIN +1.5 vs. GB NYG +11.5 @ TB Low Confidence Picks SEA…
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