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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) The Vikings were one of my underrated teams coming into the season, as they won 7 games last season despite a horrendous defense, which should be significantly better in 2021, with Danielle Hunter, Michael Pierce, Anthony Barr, and Eric Kendricks returning from significant…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (0-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-0) The Rams are one of the more overrated teams coming into the season. Matt Stafford obviously elevates this offense, but they still have concerns on the offensive line and in the running game, while their defense is unlikely to be as good…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) This line favors the Titans by a field goal at home, suggesting these two teams are about equal, with the Titans possibly being the slightly higher ranked team by the oddsmakers. I think this line is off. These two teams were about even…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) Most are expecting a bounce back year from the 49ers, who fell to 6-10 in 2020 after a series of devastating injuries depleted the roster of a 13-3 team the year prior, but I still think the 49ers are underrated, as they…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) I have the Cowboys winning the NFC East and improving on their 6-10 record from a year ago because of their better health on offense, including the return of Dak Prescott and his top-3 offensive linemen, who all missed significant time last…
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Continue reading →: 2021 NFL Season Previews
AFC East Buffalo Bills 13-4 New England Patriots 13-4 Miami Dolphins 6-11 New York Jets 4-13 AFC North Baltimore Ravens 12-5 Cleveland Browns 12-5 Pittsburgh Steelers 6-11 Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 AFC South Indianapolis Colts 10-7 Tennessee Titans 9-8 Jacksonville Jaguars 6-11 Houston Texans 2-15 AFC West Kansas City Chiefs 14-3…
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Continue reading →: Which stats are most predictable and predictive?
Throughout my season previews and my picks during the season, I refer to certain statistics as being either predictive, predictable, or not. I wanted to discuss what I mean by that and put all my supporting statistical evidence in one place. First, let’s define some terms. Predictability is probably the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers 2021 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback This is the last team preview I have to do and I saved the Packers for last for good reason, as they have the biggest unresolved quarterback situation in the league. The story is well known by now, but Rodgers overshadowed the NFL draft itself when reports leaked earlier…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos 2021 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback I’ve held off on posting the Broncos’ preview because they are the favorite to land Aaron Rodgers via trade if Rodgers does in fact get moved, but it doesn’t seem like there is a real possibility of that right now. Rodgers’ only leverage is sitting out what could be…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans 2021 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback For many years, the Texans were led by a dominant defense. Normally dominant defenses are tough to maintain year-to-year because it tends to be very tough to keep together the amount of above average starters that you need to have dominant defensive play year in and year out, due…
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