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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Carolina Panthers: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-0) Both of these teams are likely to miss the post-season, but the Panthers have the slight edge. That is reflected in this line, which favors them at home by 4, which is right around my calculated line. I have gone into both…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0) Both of these teams are likely to miss the post-season, but the Falcons have the slight edge. That is reflected in this line, which favors them at home by 3.5, which is right around my calculated line. I have gone into both of…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts: 2021 NFL Week 1 Pick
Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0) The Colts enter the season as one of the most banged up teams in the league. Both Carson Wentz and Quenton Nelson are expected to play after suffering foot injuries early in training camp and those are their two most important players, but…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) It’s possible that no unit has improved more from last year to this year than the Browns’ defense, up there with the Vikings’ defense, which has also added significant reinforcements. The Browns added safety John Johnson, cornerback Troy Hill, cornerback Greg Newsome,…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) The Texans are seen as a candidate to go 0-17, but, while they are one of the worst two teams in the league and unlikely to be favored in any of their games, I would actually be surprised if they didn’t pull a…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) vs. New Orleans Saints (0-0) in Jacksonville The Saints lost Drew Brees to retirement after last season and had to navigate cap hell this off-season, but they did so in a way that kept the rest of their core intact, as the Saints continued borrowing future…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New York Giants: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (0-0) at New York Giants (0-0) The Broncos went just 5-11 last season, but they have a good chance to make a significant jump in win total. Their biggest problem last season was their turnover margin, dead last in the NFL at -16, but turnover margins tend to…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-0) at New England Patriots (0-0) This matchup features one of my top overrated teams and one of my top underrated teams. The Dolphins won 10 games a year ago, but they faced a very easy schedule and they benefited from an unsustainably high turnover margin (+11), opponent’s…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0) The Steelers won 12 games last season, but their offense was a big problem, as they ranked 28th in first down rate over expected at -2.83%. Many are expecting them to be better on offense, after using their first round pick on running…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Washington Football Team: 2021 Week 1 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Washington Football Team (0-0) The Chargers are a bit of an overrated team coming into the season. They should be better on the offensive line and in the running game this season, to complement their impressive passing offense, led by quarterback Justin Herbert, but they’re…
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