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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-5-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-0) The Bengals are 2-5-1, while the Steelers are the league’s last remaining unbeaten team at 8-0, but the Bengals have been competitive in most of their games, losing just once by more than a touchdown, while the Steelers haven’t been blowing people out,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (3-5) at Chicago Bears (5-4) A couple weeks ago, coming out of their week 7 bye, I compared the Vikings to the 2019 Atlanta Falcons, who went 1-7 before their bye week before going 6-2 in their final 8 games. The Falcons had a first down rate differential…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-6) at Cleveland Browns (5-3) The Browns are 5-3, but their 5 wins have come by a combined 42 points, while their 3 losses have come by a combined 73 points, giving them a point differential of -31 which ranks 24th in the league. In terms of schedule…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4-1) at New York Giants (2-7) The Eagles had their bye last week and it couldn’t have come at a better time, as the Eagles will come out of their bye as healthy as they’ve been all season. Defensive tackles Malik Jackson (1 game missed) and Javon Hargrave…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-2) at Los Angeles Rams (5-3) The Seahawks are 6-2, but four of their six wins have come by one score, including a pair that came down to fourth down stops against the Vikings and Patriots, and they rank just 17th in schedule adjusted first down rate differential.…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (2-6) at Miami Dolphins (5-3) Sitting at 3-3, coming off back-to-back wins by 24 points, the Dolphins made the surprising move during their bye week to bench veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick for rookie Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa was drafted by the Dolphins with the 5th overall pick and was…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (2-6) at Detroit Lions (3-5) The Lions have lost back-to-back games by multiple touchdowns, pushing them down to 27th in point differential at -43, but they still continue to be overrated, favored by 4.5 points at home over the Washington Football Team. The Lions have been even…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (5-3) The Raiders won last week to improve to 5-3, but they have a negative point differential on the season at -11 and are even worse in first down rate differential at -1.59%. The Raiders have faced one of the toughest schedules in…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) at Carolina Panthers (3-6) The Buccaneers were embarrassed in a 38-3 loss to the Saints last week, losing the first down rate battle by 8.73%. I thought that win was more about the Saints though, as the Saints are arguably the top team in the league…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (7-2) at Arizona Cardinals (5-4) These two teams have been pretty similar this year. Both have had dominant offenses, with the Cardinals ranking 1st in schedule adjusted first down rate at +3.55% and the Bills ranking 3rd at +3.09%, but both defenses have struggled mightily, ranking 25th and…
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