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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Atlanta Falcons: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (6-4) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7) The Raiders are the only team to beat the Chiefs this season and they nearly beat them a second time last week and, even with that loss, they are still 6-4, but I’m still not that impressed with them. They seem to…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-7-1) Coming out of their week 11 bye, the Giants are an underrated team, especially on offense. The Giants are generally considered to be a weak offense and in terms of first down rate they rank just 28th at 31.76%, but they’ve also…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (5-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-3) The Packers lost in overtime in Indianapolis last week, but the Colts are a solid team and the Packers outplayed them for most of the game, winning the first down rate battle by a pretty substantial 5.76% and only losing because they…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (7-3) at Indianapolis Colts (7-3) These two teams met just two and a half weeks ago in week 10 on Thursday Night Football, with the Colts winning 34-17. That final score looks somewhat lopsided, but it was a much closer game that suggests, as the Titans led with…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) The Buccaneers lost at home to the Rams on Monday Night Football last week and the general opinion seems to be that the sky is falling in Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers were already home field goal underdogs against the Chiefs on…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (3-7) at Detroit Lions (4-6) There was no early line posted for this game last week, with Matt Stafford’s status somewhat uncertain due to a thumb injury, but it’s unlikely if the oddsmakers knew that Stafford would be able to play through the injury that this line would…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (3-7) Both of these teams are just 3-7, but Washington has been the significantly better team this season. While the Cowboys rank 30th in point differential at -83, Washington ranks a relatively respectable 22nd at -27. On top of that, Washington has struggled…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TEN +6 @ BAL High Confidence Picks NE -1.5 @ HOU Medium Confidence Picks KC -7 @ LV WAS -1 vs. CIN ATL +3.5 @ NO PHI +3 @ CLE LAR +4 @ TB JAX +10.5 vs. PIT Low Confidence Picks SEA -3 vs. ARZ CAR…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (3-7) Panthers quarterback Teddy Bridgewater remains a gametime decision officially, but this spread has been posted at Detroit -2.5 in some places, a steep dropoff from Carolina -3, where this line was last week on the early line, so it definitely seems like the…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (6-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3) These two teams have some big similarities. Both teams rank highly in schedule adjusted first down rate differential, as the Buccaneers rank first at +5.13%, while the Rams rank second at +4.87%. Both teams have been better defensively than on offense,…
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