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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (6-3) Typically the rule of thumb with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs over the past few seasons has been to pick them unless there is a good reason not to, as they are 28-16-2 ATS with Mahomes under center since his first…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (6-3) at Denver Broncos (3-6) Perhaps no team has been kept down by their quarterback play more than the Broncos. The Broncos have a strong defense, ranking 6th in schedule adjusted first down rate allowed at -3.64%, and aren’t even that bad around the quarterback on offense, but…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Minnesota Vikings (4-5) I have picked the Vikings for three straight Pick of the Weeks since their week 7 bye and they have covered in all three games. The metrics that made me think the Vikings were underrated like the field goal percentage against (100%), net…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-9) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-7) In 2019, the Chargers were a solid team, but went just 5-11 because of a ridiculous 2-9 record in one score games. That type of thing tends to be very inconsistent on a year-to-year basis, but somehow the Chargers have been…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (7-2) at Indianapolis Colts (6-3) Earlier this week when the Packers opened as 2.5-point underdogs, I was hoping we’d get a +3 at some point, but instead sharp action on the Packers has pushed them down to 1.5-point underdogs of even 1-point in some places. I still…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (7-2) I have been saying all season that I was planning on betting the Saints pretty consistently once they finally got healthy because they were my pre-season #1 team in my roster rankings and because they typically shake off slow starts, going 4-17-1…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-6-1) at Washington Football Team (2-7) Neither of these teams have impressive records, but Washington has been clearly the better of these two teams this season. Washington has the slightly better point differential at -38 vs. -46, but the difference is more pronounced than that. Washington has faced…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Houston Texans: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (4-5) at Houston Texans (2-7) The Patriots pulled off the upset last week, beating the Ravens last week by final score of 23-17. That was a shocking result to people who left the Patriots for dead after a four game losing streak and a near defeat to…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) The Steelers have consistently been one of the best teams in the league throughout Ben Roethlisberger’s 17-year tenure, but one thing that they’ve consistently had a problem with is playing down to the level of their competition on the road outside of the…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5-1) at Cleveland Browns (6-3) This season has possibly been defined by all of the injury absences teams have had thus far and the Eagles have been among the most affected. However, last week coming out of their bye week, they were significantly healthier, with left tackle Jason…
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