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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3) The Ravens opened as 7-point favorites in New England last week, which immediately stood out to me as too high, but I understood it. The Patriots were just 3-5 and coming off of a near loss to the Jets, while the Ravens were…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 Week 11 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (6-3) at Seattle Seahawks (6-3) The Seahawks started 5-0 before their bye, but it wasn’t a very convincing 5-0, as four of their wins came by one score. It was very similar to last season when they went just 1-3 in games decided by more than one score,…
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Pick Results (Through Week 10)
2020 Pick of the Week: 6-4 (60.00%) High Confidence Picks: 9-6 (60.00%) Medium Confidence Picks: 21-20-1 (51.19%) Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 36-30-1 (54.48%) Low Confidence Picks: 26-24 (52.00%) No Confidence Picks: 7-21-2 (26.67%) Total Against the Spread: 69-75-3 (47.96%) Moneyline Upset Picks: 5-7 (41.67%) All-Time (Since 2013) Total…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 10 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN -3 @ CHI High Confidence Picks TB -5.5 @ CAR WAS +4.5 @ DET NO -9.5 vs. SF Medium Confidence Picks NE +7 vs. BAL DEN +3.5 @ LV SEA +3 @ LAR BUF +2.5 @ ARZ Low Confidence Picks LAC +1.5 @ MIA PIT…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7) at Green Bay Packers (6-2) This is a tough call. On one hand, I think this line is a little high at 13.5. The Jaguars rank 31st in schedule adjusted first down rate differential at -5.78%, but their defense should be better going forward. Not only will…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-5-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-0) The Bengals are 2-5-1, while the Steelers are the league’s last remaining unbeaten team at 8-0, but the Bengals have been competitive in most of their games, losing just once by more than a touchdown, while the Steelers haven’t been blowing people out,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (3-5) at Chicago Bears (5-4) A couple weeks ago, coming out of their week 7 bye, I compared the Vikings to the 2019 Atlanta Falcons, who went 1-7 before their bye week before going 6-2 in their final 8 games. The Falcons had a first down rate differential…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-6) at Cleveland Browns (5-3) The Browns are 5-3, but their 5 wins have come by a combined 42 points, while their 3 losses have come by a combined 73 points, giving them a point differential of -31 which ranks 24th in the league. In terms of schedule…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4-1) at New York Giants (2-7) The Eagles had their bye last week and it couldn’t have come at a better time, as the Eagles will come out of their bye as healthy as they’ve been all season. Defensive tackles Malik Jackson (1 game missed) and Javon Hargrave…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-2) at Los Angeles Rams (5-3) The Seahawks are 6-2, but four of their six wins have come by one score, including a pair that came down to fourth down stops against the Vikings and Patriots, and they rank just 17th in schedule adjusted first down rate differential.…
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