-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-1) at Buffalo Bills (6-2) The Seahawks are 6-1, but four of their six wins have come by one score, including a pair that came down to fourth down stops against the Vikings and Patriots, and they rank just 12th in schedule adjusted first down rate differential. However,…
-
Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6) It may seem strange to see a 1-win Texans team favored by 6.5 points in this game in Jacksonville, but this is the 19th time in the past 30 seasons that a team with 1 win or fewer has been favored by 6.5…
-
Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (3-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-1) It might go without saying, but the Chiefs are on an incredible run right now. Dating back to last year’s bye, a 16-game stretch including the post-season, the Chiefs have just one loss and 12 wins by double digits and have a…
-
Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Indianapolis Colts (5-2) Typically I like to go against significant week-to-week line movements as they tend to be an overreaction to a single week of play and this line has shifted from Baltimore -4 on the early line last week to even this week, but this…
-
Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-2) When these two teams met back in week 1, the Saints won 34-23 in New Orleans, but the Buccaneers were significantly better in both yards per play (+0.7) and in first down rate (+8.11), losing primarily because of a -3 turnover…
-
Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (5-3) at Tennessee Titans (5-2) Both of these teams have impressive records that get less impressive when you look at the box scores. The Bears’ five wins have all come by one score, including four games that all came down to the final score and a pair of…
-
Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (4-3) at Arizona Cardinals (5-2) The Dolphins made the surprising decision during their week 7 bye to bench veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick for rookie Tua Tagovailoa. Tua is the obvious long-term franchise quarterback for this team, but there was speculation he wouldn’t play at all as a rookie, working…
-
Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (5-2) at San Francisco 49ers (4-4) The Packers had a disappointing home loss to the Vikings last week, but that didn’t really surprise me. The Vikings are significantly better than their record and the Packers were in an obvious look ahead spot, with this matchup against the…
-
Continue reading →: 2020 Week 8 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN +7 @ GB High Confidence None Medium Confidence IND -2.5 @ DET KC -19.5 vs. NYJ NO -4 @ CHI NE +4.5 @ BUF SEA -1 vs. SF CAR -1 vs. ATL Low Confidence DEN +3.5 vs. LAC DAL +11 @ PHI BAL -3.5 vs.…
-
Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-5-1) This is one of the toughest calls of the week. On one hand, while the Titans are 5-1, most of their wins have been close, with 4 of their 5 wins coming by 6 points or fewer, despite facing a relatively easy schedule…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
