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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-0) at Baltimore Ravens (5-1) The Steelers are the NFL’s last remaining undefeated team, but they are still underdogs of 3.5 points in this game in Baltimore, 4 points at some points. That may sound unusual and it is, as this is the just 4th instance of an…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (4-3) at Seattle Seahawks (5-1) Earlier this week, I was expecting to be betting on the Seahawks in this one. This line has shifted significantly since last week, moving from Seattle -6 to Seattle -3, as a result of the 49ers’ dominant win in New England and…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (5-2) at Miami Dolphins (3-3) This is a tough one to pick. Both teams have played easy schedules, but the Rams have played significantly better against their easy schedule, ranking 2nd in the NFL in first down rate differential at +3.27%, even when adjusted for schedule, while…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-2) at New York Giants (1-6) I have had the Buccaneers as underrated for a while and, as a result, I have bet on them every week since week 2. It has worked out, as the Buccaneers have gone 5-1 ATS over that stretch. Everyone knew about…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (3-3) at Cleveland Browns (5-2) Last week when looking at the early lines for week 8, I had the Raiders +3.5 at Cleveland circled. The Raiders are just 3-3, but they have had probably the toughest schedule in the league thus far. The easiest opponents they’ve faced…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (2-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-4-1) I can’t remember a team ever falling in my rankings as fast as the Cowboys. Going into the season, I had pretty high expectations for the Cowboys, who finished last season 6th in point differential at +113 and 5th in first down rate…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) These two teams are pretty similar. Both teams are 2-4, but have positive first down rate differentials (+0.73% for the Broncos and +1.49% for the Chargers), despite facing an above average strength of schedule. When adjusting for strength of schedule, the Chargers…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) This is the biggest line of the year so far, favoring the Chiefs at home by 19.5 points. Normally I don’t like to bet on massive favorites like this and for good reason, as favorites are 17.5+ are 7-15 ATS over…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-2) at Chicago Bears (5-2) The Bears are 5-2, but they’re about as bad as a 5-2 team can be. While their five wins have remarkably all come by one score or less, including a pair of wins that both required nearly impossible 4th quarter comebacks, the…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-4) at Buffalo Bills (5-2) I had a lot of confidence in the Patriots last week. The Patriots started 2-1, easily defeating capable teams in the Raiders and Dolphins and coming up just short on the road in Seattle. Then their COVID outbreak happened, costing them starting…
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