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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (2-6) at Miami Dolphins (5-3) Sitting at 3-3, coming off back-to-back wins by 24 points, the Dolphins made the surprising move during their bye week to bench veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick for rookie Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa was drafted by the Dolphins with the 5th overall pick and was…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (2-6) at Detroit Lions (3-5) The Lions have lost back-to-back games by multiple touchdowns, pushing them down to 27th in point differential at -43, but they still continue to be overrated, favored by 4.5 points at home over the Washington Football Team. The Lions have been even…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (5-3) The Raiders won last week to improve to 5-3, but they have a negative point differential on the season at -11 and are even worse in first down rate differential at -1.59%. The Raiders have faced one of the toughest schedules in…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) at Carolina Panthers (3-6) The Buccaneers were embarrassed in a 38-3 loss to the Saints last week, losing the first down rate battle by 8.73%. I thought that win was more about the Saints though, as the Saints are arguably the top team in the league…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (7-2) at Arizona Cardinals (5-4) These two teams have been pretty similar this year. Both have had dominant offenses, with the Cardinals ranking 1st in schedule adjusted first down rate at +3.55% and the Bills ranking 3rd at +3.09%, but both defenses have struggled mightily, ranking 25th and…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (6-2) at New England Patriots (3-5) The Patriots have gone just 3-5 in their first season without Tom Brady, at one point losing four straight games for the first time since 2002 and only snapping that losing streak by squeaking out a field goal win over the Jets…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (4-5) at New Orleans Saints (6-2) The Saints started the season 1-2, but I was never that concerned. The Saints typically start slow, going 4-17-1 ATS in week 1 and 2 since 2010, as opposed to 87-57-2 ATS in weeks 3-17, and, while it didn’t seem likely…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans: 2020 Week 10 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (5-3) at Tennessee Titans (6-2) This one is a tough call. The Colts have been better overall this season, ranking 8th in schedule adjusted first down rate differential at +1.75%, while the Titans rank 21st at -0.54%, but the Titans have been a much better offensive team than…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 9 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN -3.5 vs. DET High Confidence Picks ARZ -4.5 vs. MIA Medium Confidence Picks GB -6.5 @ SF KC -10 vs. CAR IND PK vs. BAL NO +4.5 @ TB NYG +3 @ WAS HOU -6.5 @ JAX Low Confidence Picks NE -9.5 @ NYJ TEN…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at New York Jets: 2020 Week 9 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-5) at New York Jets (0-8) With the Patriots falling to 2-5 in their first season without Tom Brady, there has been a lot of talk that the Patriots made a mistake not trying harder to bring Brady back. However, I don’t know how this would have…
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