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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) at New England Patriots (1-1) As crazy as it might seem, the Patriots seem to have found an upgrade on Tom Brady. In Brady’s final season in New England, the Patriots struggled to get consistent offense, finishing the season 21st in first down rate. That wasn’t…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Baltimore Ravens (2-0) This is arguably the biggest game of the early season so far. Not only could it be an AFC Championship preview, but it could also decide the #1 seed in the AFC, as the winner would have a one game lead and…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (2-0) It’s funny how narratives change. In 2018, the Cowboys went 10-6 with a 8-2 record in games decided by 7 points or less and they were seen as a team that was good at closing out games. In 2019, they went just 0-5…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (2-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-1) The Saints lost in Las Vegas to the Raiders last week and it seems to be a common narrative this week that the sky is falling in New Orleans. Drew Brees’ production has been questionable through two games and some are…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at New York Giants (0-2) Going into the season, I noted that the 49ers didn’t have the usual risk factors for a team that has a big decline after an impressive season, as they didn’t have an unsustainably high turnover margin, they didn’t win an unsustainably…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (0-2) Several teams have been decimated by injuries early this season and the Broncos are certainly one of them. It started when they lost their best defensive player Von Miller for the year to a freak injury on the eve of the season…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) The rule of thumb on Thursday nights has always been to take a non-divisional home favorite, as teams cover at about a 70% rate in that spot historically. It makes sense. Road teams are at a bigger disadvantage on a short week because…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 2 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TB -8.5 vs. CAR High Confidence Picks LAC +9 vs. KC TEN -7 vs. JAX Medium Confidence Picks CIN +6 @ CLE IND -3 vs. MIN MIA +6 vs. BUF PIT -6.5 vs. DEN WAS +7 @ ARZ Low Confidence Picks ATL +3 @ DAL NYG…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (1-0) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) The Raiders went 7-9 last season, but they were not nearly as good as their record suggested, as all seven of their wins were decided by 8 points or fewer, including a few that easily could have gone the other way,…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-0) The Lions held a 23-6 lead at the beginning of the 4th quarter last week against the Bears last week, but ended up giving up three straight touchdowns to lose by a score of 27-23. It was an impressive comeback by the…
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