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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-8) at Chicago Bears (4-6) The Giants are just 2-8 coming out of their bye, but they could be better than people expect in the second half of the season. Turnover margin has been a big part of their problem, as they have the second worst turnover…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-5) at New Orleans Saints (8-2) The Saints surprisingly lost at home to the then 1-7 Falcons a couple weeks ago and it wasn’t even really close, with a final score of 26-9. However, the Falcons were better than that 1-7 record suggested, entering that game 18th in…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New York Jets: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (6-4) at New York Jets (3-7) The Raiders are 6-4 and very much in the mix for a playoff spot in the AFC, but they haven’t been as good as their record suggests, as their six wins have come by a combined 34 points, while the four losses…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) at Tennessee Titans (5-5) The Titans are just 5-5 coming out of their bye, but they could go on a surprise second half run. They made the switch from Marcus Mariota to Ryan Tannehill under center 4 games ago and it has made a significant difference. After…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (3-6-1) at Washington Redskins (1-9) The Lions are arguably the most injury affected team in the league right now. The most visible absence is quarterback Matt Stafford, who will miss his third straight game with a back injury, but the Lions are also missing several other key contributors.…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-7) at Buffalo Bills (7-3) At first glance, the Bills are having a strong season, going 7-3 and ranking 6th in first down rate differential at +4.18%. However, they’ve played by far the easiest schedule in the NFL so far. Their seven wins have come against teams that…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Rams: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-2) at Los Angeles Rams (6-4) The Ravens are the hottest team in the NFL right now, having won four straight games by 14+ points, making them the 24th team to do so in the past 30 years. The common thinking is that makes them a great bet,…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2019 Week 12 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-4) at Houston Texans (6-4) This is a huge Thursday night game, as these two teams enter tied atop the AFC South. This line, favoring the hometown Texans by 3.5 points, suggests the Texans are the slightly better team. First down rate suggests that as well, as these…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL +4.5 @ CAR High Confidence Picks LAC +6 vs. KC Medium Confidence Picks NE -4 @ PHI NO -5.5 @ TB CIN +13 @ OAK Low Confidence Picks BUF -6.5 @ MIA IND -2.5 vs. JAX DAL -7 @ DET No Confidence Picks SF -10…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Washington Redskins: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
New York Jets (2-7) at Washington Redskins (1-8) These two teams are very similar. Both have had awful seasons, as the Jets rank 31st in first down rate differential at -7.54% and the Redskins rank 30th at -7.07%, but both have been slightly better when a key player has been…