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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (6-3) at Detroit Lions (3-6) The Lions look on their way to a lost season at 3-6, in their first year under head coach Matt Patricia. The Lions went 9-7 in each of the past two seasons, but did not play like a 9-7 team in either season,…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-5) at Atlanta Falcons (4-5) Both of these teams are pretty banged up. The Falcons are missing starting safeties Keanu Neal and Ricardo Allen for the season, while recently activated linebacker Deion Jones is at least a week from returning for the first time since week 1. Without…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (1-8) at Arizona Cardinals (2-7) Both of these teams have had horrendous seasons, as the Raiders rank 30th in first down rate differential at -5.54%, while the Cardinals rank dead last at -7.51%. The Cardinals are trending up a little bit, as their offense has been improved since…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at New Orleans Saints (8-1) The Eagles have obviously gotten off to a disappointing start, going 4-5 a year after winning the Super Bowl. Last week was arguably their most disappointing loss, as they lost a key divisional game against the Cowboys at home as 7.5-point favorites.…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-4) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5) A week ago, both of these teams were high on my underrated list. The Colts are much healthier after being one of the most injury plagued teams in the league for the first half of the season and have a positive point differential…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) at New York Giants (2-7) The Buccaneers lost last week at home to the Redskins, falling to 3-6 on the season, but they’ve been better than their record suggests, as they rank 19th with a +0.15% first down rate. They’ve been killed by the turnover margin,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) I typically love going against significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, and this game is no exception. Originally 3-point favorites on the early line last week, the Steelers are now 6-point favorites after…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Washington Redskins: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-3) at Washington Redskins (6-3) These two teams are both 6-3, but the Texans are by far the better team right now. On the season, they have a +32 point differential, as opposed to a +1 point differential for the Redskins. That’s despite the fact that the Redskins…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (5-3-1) at Chicago Bears (6-3) The Bears have quietly been one of the best teams in the league this season. Their 6-3 record is impressive, but they’ve been even better than that suggests. Their 3 losses have come by a combined 11 points and they rank 4th in…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-2) I’ve thought the Broncos are underrated for most of the season, as they are about even in point differential (-8), despite their 3-6 record, with 4 of their losses coming by a combined 16 points to the Texans, Rams, and Chiefs (twice),…
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