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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-5) at Houston Texans (7-3) The Titans are high on my underrated list right now, following a tough performance in Indianapolis last week. They lost that game 38-10, but the Colts have been playing legitimately great football for weeks (they’re also high on my underrated list) and the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-5-1) at Minnesota Vikings (5-4-1) The Packers haven’t lost at home this season, but they also haven’t won on the road. Now at 4-5-1, the Packers have their season on the line this week in Minnesota. If they lose this game, they’ll fall two games behind the…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-7) These two teams have had similar seasons statistically. Both have poor records, but rank significantly better than their record suggests in first down rate differential. The 49ers rank 12th at +1.26%, while the Buccaneers rank 16th at +0.95%. Both teams have…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (3-6-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-5) Earlier in the week, I was considering betting the Bengals in this one. They have not played as well in recent weeks as they did earlier in the season due to injuries, but it looked like there would be a chance they’d get…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7) at Buffalo Bills (3-7) The Bills have endured some truly terrible quarterback play in recent weeks. Matt Barkley played well in his start before the bye, but prior to that the Bills were a combined 75 of 121 (62.0%) for 676 yards (5.59 YPA), no touchdowns, and…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (5-5) at Carolina Panthers (6-4) A couple weeks ago, the Panthers were 6-2 and were seen as one of the better teams in the league, but they got blown out in Pittsburgh and then lost in Detroit to a last place Lions team, dropping them down to 6-4.…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at New York Jets: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-3) at New York Jets (3-7) The Patriots started off the season 1-2, but followed that up by ripping off 6 straight wins, putting them firmly back into Super Bowl contention once again. However, then they followed that up by getting blown out by 24 in Tennessee…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2-1) at Denver Broncos (4-6) The Steelers have traditionally disappointed as big road favorites outside of the division, going 7-19 ATS as non-divisional road favorites of 3+ since Mike Tomlin took over as head coach in 2007, frequently looking flat, especially early in games. We saw this last…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-5) The Dolphins are 5-5, but they’ve been much worse than their record. While all 5 of their wins have come by 8 points or fewer, their 5 losses have all come by double digits, giving them a -57 point differential in the season,…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) The Eagles had a week from hell last week. Not only did they get blown out in New Orleans, losing 48-7, but they also suffered numerous mid-game injuries. Center Jason Kelce is not listed on the injury report this week after leaving…
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