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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2-1) at Denver Broncos (4-6) The Steelers have traditionally disappointed as big road favorites outside of the division, going 7-19 ATS as non-divisional road favorites of 3+ since Mike Tomlin took over as head coach in 2007, frequently looking flat, especially early in games. We saw this last…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-5) The Dolphins are 5-5, but they’ve been much worse than their record. While all 5 of their wins have come by 8 points or fewer, their 5 losses have all come by double digits, giving them a -57 point differential in the season,…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) The Eagles had a week from hell last week. Not only did they get blown out in New Orleans, losing 48-7, but they also suffered numerous mid-game injuries. Center Jason Kelce is not listed on the injury report this week after leaving…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6) The rule of thumb with the Lions in the Matt Stafford era is to bet against them when facing good teams. They are 20-38-2 ATS and 20-40 straight up against teams with winning records since Matt Stafford’s first full season as starter in…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-6) at New Orleans Saints (9-1) The Saints have had an incredible 3-week stretch. They started as home underdogs week 9 against the Rams, but ended up winning that game by 10, handing the Rams their first loss and putting themselves in the driver’s seat for the #1…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys: 2018 Week 12 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (6-4) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5) A week ago, the Redskins were 5-point underdogs in Dallas on the early line, but the line has since shifted to a full touchdown. The obvious reason for that is the Redskins losing quarterback Alex Smith for the season with a broken leg,…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick Results
Week 11 Total Against the Spread: 7-3-3 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence Picks: 2-0-1 Medium Confidence Picks: 1-2-1 Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 3-3-2 Low Confidence Picks: 2-0 No Confidence Picks: 2-0-1 Upset Picks: 1-1 2018 Total Against the Spread: 96-59-6 (61.49%) Pick of the Week: 5-5-1…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI +8 @ NO High Confidence Picks TB +3 @ NYG CHI -2.5 vs. MIN DAL +3.5 @ ATL Medium Confidence Picks LAC -7 vs. DEN JAX +6 vs. PIT GB +3 @ SEA HOU -3 @ WAS Low Confidence Picks IND -2 vs. TEN OAK…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Baltimore Ravens (4-5) I had the Ravens on my underrated list during their bye last week and was expecting to bet them in the second half of the season. They lost three in a row going into their bye, but they looked like one of the…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) at Los Angeles Rams (9-1) Originally this game was supposed to be in Mexico City, but poor field conditions forced the NFL to move it back to Los Angeles, making this a true home game for the Rams (originally they gave one up to play in…
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