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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week LAR -9.5 @ DET High Confidence NE -5 vs. MIN BUF +4 @ MIA LAC +3.5 @ PIT Medium Confidence ATL -1.5 vs. BAL CLE +6 @ HOU CAR -3 @ TB Low Confidence KC -14 @ OAK TEN -8 vs. NYJ DEN -5.5 @ CIN…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8) This is a tough one. On one hand, we’ve lost a lot of line value with the Colts. The Jaguars were just 2.5-point home underdogs against the Colts on the early line last week and -2.5 road underdogs in Indianapolis a few weeks…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (6-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) The Eagles have had a disappointing season at 5-6, but they’ve been better than their record. Five of their 6 losses have come by a touchdown or fewer, despite the fact that they’ve had one of the worst turnover margins in the league…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-9) at Seattle Seahawks (6-5) The Seahawks have a solid record at 6-5, but this is not nearly the Seahawks team we’ve seen in recent years. Despite their record, they rank 22nd in first down rate differential at -2.78%. Their offense has been solid, moving the chains…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-8) at Tennessee Titans (5-6) The Titans have been one of the most unpredictable teams in the league this season, having the 3rd most DVOA variance in the league, only ahead of the Bills (who have started 4 different quarterbacks) and the Titans’ opponents this week, the…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-6) The Bengals got off to a solid start to the season, but they’ve had terrible injury luck and are now one of the worst teams in the league with backup Jeff Driskel, a 2016 6th round pick, making his first career start this…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (6-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7) The Panthers, once 6-2, are losers of 3 straight, but they could have easily won each of their past two games. The Panthers lost by 1 in Detroit two weeks ago, in a game in which they missed a field goal, an…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Oakland Raiders (2-9) Earlier this week, I liked the Chiefs a lot in this one. The line was high, with Kansas City being favored by 15.5 points on the road, but this is a matchup of arguably the best and arguably the worst team in…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-4-1) at New England Patriots (8-3) The rule of thumb with the Patriots is to bet them in the second half of the season, once they’ve figured themselves out. They are 66-42 ATS in the final 8 games of the regular season with Tom Brady under center. This…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (2-9) at Green Bay Packers (4-6-1) It’s week 13 and the Packers are still undefeated at home and winless on the road. That’s a rare occurrence. In fact, the Packers join the 2009 Patriots as the only teams in the past 30 years to be undefeated at home…
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