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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) The Vikings have a strong defense, allowing the 6th lowest first down rate in the NFL, but they were dealt a huge blow when they lost Harrison Smith with an ankle injury that could sideline him for the rest of the year. As…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) The Saints are just 5-7, but enter this game 5th in first down rate differential. That’s because, on the season, the Saints have 39 more first downs than their opponents (the 2nd best differential in the league) and 10 more offensive…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at Buffalo Bills (6-6) The Steelers got a big home win last week against the New York Giants, but this could be a letdown game for them in Buffalo. The Steelers are just 10-22 ATS as non-divisional road favorites in the Mike Tomlin era (since 2007) and…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (8-4) at Tennessee Titans (6-6) Despite 6-6 record, the Titans enter this game 7th in first down rate differential. They’ve been competitive in every game and have a +12 point differential on the season, despite being -7 in return touchdown differential. Aside from those 7 plays, they have…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-12) The Browns are 0-12 and probably the worst team in the league right now, but they have a pretty decent shot at getting their first win of the season this week, for three reasons. For one, they’re coming off of their bye week.…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (8-3-1) at Green Bay Packers (6-6) Typically, the Seahawks are unstoppable in the second half of the season, going 33-10-1 ATS since Pete Carroll’s first season in 2011 in games 9-16 of the regular season. This year, they got off to a strong start, covering in games 9…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (7-5) at Los Angeles Rams (4-8) The Rams have been beaten badly in back-to-back games. First they couldn’t stop anything against the Saints, who scored 7 offensive touchdowns in a 49-21 victory. Then last week they couldn’t move the ball, not breaking 100 yards until a garbage time…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: 2016 Week 14 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (10-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) Back in week 6, the Chiefs clobbered the Raiders in Oakland, 26-10, easily the Chiefs’ most impressive game of the season. The Chiefs won the first down battle 22 to 16 and won the first down rate battle by a margin of…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-10) at Chicago Bears (2-9) The 49ers have lost 10 straight games, but are favored here on the road. To give you an idea of how rare that is, the 49ers are just the 5th team since 1989 to be favored despite being on a losing streak…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-5) at Oakland Raiders (9-2) This line at 3 in favor of the hometown Oakland Raiders seems to be confusing a lot of people, as the public is all over the favorite. That’s understandable, as the Bills are 6-5 and the Raiders are 9-2, but the Raiders have…
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