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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-7) at New England Patriots (9-2) The Patriots enter this game 2nd in first down rate differential, despite the fact that they were missing starting quarterback Tom Brady for the first 4 games of the season, but there’s still plenty of reason to be concerned with them.…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-6) The Texans are 6-5, but their 6 wins have come by a combined 36 points, while their 5 losses have come by a combined 78 points, with none of them being closer than 7 points. As a result, they have a -42…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (7-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-6) The Saints enter this game at 5-6 and the Lions enter at 7-4, but the Saints have been much better than their record this season, while the Lions have been much worse than their record. On the season, the Saints have 43…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Diego Chargers: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5) at San Diego Chargers (5-6) The Buccaneers got an impressive home victory over the Seahawks last week, but teams tend not to cover coming off of a home upset victory, going 60-80 ATS the following week since 2012. Teams tend to be overrated off of a…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) at Atlanta Falcons (7-4) For weeks, the Chiefs have been at the top of my overrated teams list. They’re still on the list, as they are overly reliant on winning close games (5 wins by a touchdown or fewer), winning the turnover margin (+14 on the…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (5-6) at New York Jets (3-8) The Colts get Andrew Luck back from injury this week, but still have major problems on both sides of the ball. Defensively, they struggle against the run and the pass and, on the offensive side of the ball, they’ve had major issues…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-7) at Seattle Seahawks (7-3-1) Typically, the Seahawks are a very good team in the second half of the season, going 32-10-1 ATS since Pete Carroll took over (since 2011) in games 9-16 of the regular season, but they fell flat on their faces last week in Tampa…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-7-1) Before the season started, I had the Bengals on my list of teams that I thought would disappoint. They won 12 games last season and were 10-2 before losing quarterback Andy Dalton for the season with injury, but outside of Dalton they barely…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (6-4-1) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6-1) I’ve lost money on the Cardinals in back-to-back weeks, but their price keeps dropping, so I’m going to keep buying. As a result of Arizona’s big loss in Atlanta last week, this line has dropped from 3.5 last week on the early line…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (7-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) The Jaguars have one of the worst records in the league at 2-9, but are far from one of the worst teams in the league. In addition to 6 of 9 losses coming by less than a touchdown, they’ve been killed by a…
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