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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (4-5) at Chicago Bears (5-4) This is one I could go either way on. Both teams are in good spots and distraction free. The Ravens host the Jets next week and will be favored, while the Bears go to St. Louis and will be favored. Non-divisional home favorites…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (6-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) The Steelers are 3-6, but they are better than their record. They are moving the chains at a 74% rate, as opposed to 74% for their opponents, which is a differential that ranks 17th in the NFL. They’ve just been killed by turnovers…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) I maintained all along that the Jaguars were going to win a game at some point. It’s very, very hard to go 0 for a season. Winless teams are 24-5 ATS in week 9 or later since 1989 so I’m not surprised at…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (4-5) at Miami Dolphins (4-5) The Chargers are in an obvious sandwich game spot here in between a loss at home for Denver and a game in Kansas City next week. Teams are 74-95 ATS since 2008 as favorites in between a loss as underdogs and another…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) I had the Falcons winning 8 games before the season, but I never could have imagined a team with a quarterback like Matt Ryan could ever win 4 or fewer games. However, they have a very realistic chance of that happening right…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) The Bengals were riding high off of a 49-9 win over the Jets a couple of weeks ago, but after back-to-back road overtime losses, they have been knocked back down to Earth and people have given them the inconsistent label. I don’t think…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Denver Broncos (8-1) The Chiefs are 9-0 and 8 point underdogs. How rare is that? Well, since 1989, no 9-0 team has ever been an underdog of any amount. The Chiefs are 8 point underdogs. No 8-0 team has ever been an underdog of any…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-2) at Carolina Panthers (6-3) It’s almost always a bad idea to bet against Tom Brady as an underdog. In his career, Brady is 29-13 ATS as an underdog and 40-15 ATS as an underdog or favorite of less than 3. It makes sense. This is the…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 11 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 1 (+1) Record: 8-1 Peyton Manning’s ankle is a concern going into the biggest game of their season thus far against the Chiefs (followed by the Patriots, followed by the Chiefs again). However, it’s very good to see that the Broncos are favored by 8 points over the…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 11 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 9-1 The Seahawks got themselves back on track after two close calls against the Buccaneers and Rams with a blowout victory in Atlanta. They get Percy Harvin back ahead of the bye this week for their game against the Vikings, which should be another blowout…