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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (6-4) at Washington Redskins (3-7) The 49ers have been deadly off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era. It might not seem that way because they’ve lost back-to-back games on separate occasions twice this season. However, they are 6-3 ATS off of a loss in the…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) at Houston Texans (2-8) One of the most powerful trends in betting is known as the six and six trend, meaning teams who finish with 6 wins or fewer are 25-69 ATS as favorites of 6 or more since 2002. There are two issues with this trend.…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-8) at Green Bay Packers (5-5) One of the most powerful trends in football says that divisional home favorites rarely cover before being divisional road dogs. Teams are 18-49 ATS in that spot since 2002, which is ridiculously low and impossible to ignore. The Packers are in that…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (4-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) I’ve maintained all along that the Chiefs are not as good as their record. Going into last week’s game, they had the NFL’s easiest schedule according to DVOA, which doesn’t even take into account all of the backup quarterbacks they faced.…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8) at Detroit Lions (6-4) The Buccaneers may just be 2-8, but they are better than their record. Before the season, I said they had 7 of the top-200 players in the NFL (Vincent Jackson, Carl Nicks, Dashon Goldson, Darrelle Revis, Gerald McCoy, Doug Martin, and Lavonte…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Jets (5-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-6) So far, the Jets have alternated wins and losses over the first 10 games, the first team in NFL history to do so. Can they extend that into 11 games and win here in Baltimore? Well, I think the fact that they’ve…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (8-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-8) This line was at 6.5 last week. Now it’s at 9 and the public is still all over the Saints. The Saints are awesome and the Falcons suck. How can the Saints not win by double digits right? Well, that seems to…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New England Patriots: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (9-1) at New England Patriots (7-3) Brady/Manning 14. That has to be some kind of record for non-divisional quarterbacks (I actually don’t know this. If someone does, let me know). This is the greatest quarterback battle in NFL history. What guys like Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 11 NFL Pick Results
Week 11 Straight Up: 10-5 Against the Spread: 8-5-2 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 1-1 Medium Confidence: 1-1 Low Confidence: 4-0 No Confidence: 2-2-2 Upset Picks: 2-3 2013 Straight Up: 110-52 Against the Spread: 100-58-4 Pick of the Week: 6-5 High Confidence: 16-5 Medium Confidence: 24-14 Low Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 12 Fantasy Football Pickups
RB Bobby Rainey (Tampa Bay) Percent owned (ESPN): 2.3% It looked like fullback type Brian Leonard would be the new starter in Tampa Bay with Doug Martin and Mike James hurt, as Leonard had 20 carries the week before against Miami. However, the Buccaneers decided to unleash Bobby Rainey instead…
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