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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9) The Packers are 4-8, a year after going 13-4, but their drop off isn’t all that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, even with an MVP season from Aaron…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (4-7) The Chargers are 6-5, but their six wins have come by a combined 24 points, while their five losses have come by a combined 54 points, giving them a point differential of -30. They’re even worse in terms of schedule adjusted…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4) This line is pretty high at Baltimore -9.5, but this is a matchup between one of the best and one of the worst teams in the league and the better team, the Baltimore Ravens, is at home, so this line isn’t nearly high…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-1) The Titans are 7-4, but their wins haven’t been that impressive. Their only win against a team that is .500 or better right now came against the Commanders, who are 7-5 now, but were just 1-4 when they were starting Carson Wentz against…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8) It’s hard to remember a team declining as much the year after winning the Super Bowl as the now 3-8 Rams, but it’s also hard to remember a team losing as many key players to injury as the Rams have this year.…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5) Throughout the 2021 season and through the first two games of this season, when the Bills won, they always won big, winning 14 straight games by 12 points or more, with an average margin of victory of 23.4 points per game, while…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 12 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI -6.5 vs. GB High Confidence Picks CLE +3.5 vs. TB BAL -3 @ JAX Medium Confidence Picks CIN -2.5 @ TEN HOU +14 @ MIA Low Confidence Picks SEA -3.5 vs. LV PIT +2.5 @ IND ATL +4 @ WAS NYJ -5.5 vs. CHI MIN…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1) A week ago on the early line, the Steelers were 3-point underdogs, but this line has since shifted to 2.5, a pretty significant shift, given that about 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field goal. Normally I like to go…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4) This game is tough to predict without knowing the status of a pair of key players on the Raiders who seem like legitimate gametime decisions, feature back Josh Jacobs and top cornerback Nate Hobbs. If both players are out, the Seahawks shouldn’t…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4) The 49ers are just 6-4, but there’s an argument to be made that they’re the best team in the NFC and they look like one of the top few Super Bowl contenders overall. They rank 5th in both point differential (+63)…
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