-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) in Munich Typically the rule of thumb in international games is to take the favorite, who covers at a 61.9% rate historically, as the better team tends to be better suited to play in a weird situation like an overseas game. However,…
-
Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 10 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (2-7) Two weeks ago, the Panthers were 4-point underdogs in Atlanta and covered the spread in a close loss by a field goal in overtime. Given that, it’s surprising to see the Panthers as home underdogs of a full field goal in this rematch.…
-
Continue reading →: 2022 Week 9 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL +3 vs. LAC High Confidence Picks SEA +2 @ ARZ Medium Confidence Picks CIN -7 vs. CAR DET +3.5 vs. GB JAX +2 vs. LV Low Confidence Picks KC -12.5 vs. TEN BAL -2.5 @ NO NE -5.5 vs. IND NYJ +11.5 vs. BUF No…
-
Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-3) at Chicago Bears (3-5) This is one of the toughest calls of the week because there aren’t any trends related to this game and the line is right about where it should be, favoring the visiting Dolphins by 4.5 points. The Dolphins only have two more wins…
-
Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at Washington Commanders (4-4) Going into the season, the Vikings were one of my top underrated teams and I expected a significant improvement in win total from their 7-9 and 8-9 finishes from the previous two seasons, due to better coaching on offense and likely better health…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) This is a matchup of the previous two Super Bowl winners and a rematch of a divisional round game from a year ago when the eventual champion Rams barely got the best of the Buccaneers, in a matchup between a 12-win…
-
Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) Both of these two teams are 5-2, but they have arrived at that point in very different ways. While all five of the Titans’ wins have come by close margins, with no double digit victories, the Chiefs have three double digit victories…
-
Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) at New England Patriots (4-4) The Patriots have struggled on offense this season, ranking 28th in schedule adjusted efficiency, but they’re at least somewhat better in my roster rankings, about a half point below average on offense, while their defense and special teams rank 11th and 7th…
-
Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-1) at New York Jets (5-3) The Jets are 5-3, but are 11.5-point home underdogs against the Bills, the first time a team has been home underdogs of 11 points or more despite a record 5-3 or better since the 2007 Giants were 10-5 against the undefeated New…
-
Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-5) The Ravens are 5-3 and they could easily be even better than that, blowing big leads in all three of their losses and ranking 2nd in time leading, only behind the undefeated Eagles. In terms of schedule adjusted efficiency, the Ravens rank…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
