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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (7-3) The Titans have won seven of their last eight games to go to 7-3 on the season, but their wins haven’t been that impressive, as their only win against a team that isn’t sub .500 came against the 6-5 Commanders and none of…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) The Packers are 4-7, a year after going 13-4, but their drop off isn’t all that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, even with an MVP season from Aaron…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Jets: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (3-8) at New York Jets (6-4) The Jets’ offense was embarrassed last week in New England, averaging 2.10 yards per play and converting first downs at a 11.76% rate in a 10-3 loss, but they also had a dominant performance on defense once again and, overall, they rank…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-3) A week ago on the early line, the Texans were 9.5-point underdogs on the early line, but this line has since ballooned to 14. The Dolphins were on bye last week and didn’t play, so this line movement is purely the result of…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5) A week ago on the early line, the Commanders were favored by three points at home over the Falcons, but this line has since shifted to four, a significant shift, as about 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly a field goal.…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7) This game is a tough call. I think both of these teams are overrated and not as good as their record. The Chargers are 5-5, but their five wins have come by a combined 23 points, while their five losses have come…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6) A week ago on the early line, the Bills were 10-point favorites for this game in Detroit, but the line has since moved to 9.5. That’s not a huge line movement, but 10 is a key number, with about 6% of games decided…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
New York Giants (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3) A week ago on the early line, the Cowboys were 6.5 point favorites, but this line has since shifted all the way to 10, as a result of the Cowboys’ blowout win in Minnesota and the Giants’ blowout loss in Detroit. Normally…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 12 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-2) Normally the rule of thumb on a short week is to take the home team as long as they are favored and as long as it is a non-divisional game, as it’s very tough for a team to go on the road…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI -6.5 @ IND High Confidence Picks ATL -2.5 vs. CHI Medium Confidence Picks KC -5 @ LAC HOU +3 vs. WAS PIT +4 vs. CIN SF -8 vs. ARZ LV +3 @ DEN BAL -12.5 vs. CAR Low Confidence Picks CLE +7.5 vs. BUF DET…
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