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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) The Steelers are 5-5-1, but all five of their wins have come by one score, their five losses have come by an average of 13.6 points per game, and their tie came against the winless Lions. The Steelers’ only close loss came against…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) at Los Angeles Rams (7-4) The Rams were 7-1 a few weeks ago and were adding even more talent, acquiring edge defender Von Miller and wide receiver Odell Beckham at the trade deadline. However, since then, the Rams have lost three straight games to fall to 7-4.…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Miami Dolphins: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Giants (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (5-7) The Dolphins have won four straight games after a 1-7 start to move up to 5-7 and into the mix for a potential playoff spot in the AFC, but two of their wins came against two of the worst teams in the…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Houston Texans (2-9) The Texans shockingly pulled the upset over the Titans in Tennessee two weeks ago, but that was a fluke win driven by a +5 turnover margin, which is not predictive. In more predictive metrics, the Titans won the first down rate and yards…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) at Atlanta Falcons (5-6) The Falcons’ 5-6 record isn’t bad, but all of their wins have come by one score against among the worst teams in the league, while many of their losses have been blowouts, with four of six coming by 23 points or more,…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) at New York Jets (3-9) The Eagles lost last week in an upset against the Giants in New York, but that was primarily because they lost the turnover battle by 4, which is not a predictive stat. In terms of first down rate and yards per play,…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (9-2) at Chicago Bears (4-7) Yet again, a point spread has been posted for a Cardinals game even though we don’t have anything definitive on the status of Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. In each of the past three games, the oddsmakers have posted a spread that has…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Typically, the rule of thumb with Chargers games is to pick them when they are on the road and pick against them when they are at home. Since moving to Los Angeles, the Chargers have frequently had to play in front of…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Las Vegas Raiders: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (5-6) at Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) Washington has won three straight games to get their record up to 5-6, despite the fact that they have faced one of the toughest schedules in the league this season. However, there is more reason for concern with this team this…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (6-5) at Seattle Seahawks (3-8) Typically, I like to fade significant week-to-week line movement, as it tends to be an overreaction to a single week of play. This game features one, with the 49ers going from 1-point favorites last week on the early line to 3.5-point favorites…
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