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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (9-3) I was hoping the Packers would be a lot healthier this week, coming out of their bye week, particularly the trio of left tackle David Bakhtiari, edge defender Za’Darius Smith, and cornerback Jaire Alexander, who are all among the best players in…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Cleveland Browns (6-6) The Ravens are 8-4, but they are not nearly as good as their record. They have played a lot of close games and are overall 6-2 in one score games, which is not something they can rely on long-term. When these two teams…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-10-1) at Denver Broncos (6-6) I have picked the Lions in recent weeks, betting them frequently, as winless teams tend to be a good bet late in the season and, in fact, the Lions have now covered in five of their last six games, after last week’s upset…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (6-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) I have thought the 49ers are underrated for weeks, as their 6-6 record is not reflective of how they have performed in more predictive metrics, ranking 7th, 8th, 22nd, and 7th in schedule adjusted offensive, defensive, special teams, and mixed efficiency. However,…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (4-8) at Houston Texans (2-10) The Texans are 2-10 and don’t have the worst record in the league, but they are undoubtedly the worst team in the league. Their first win came back in week one when their offensive line was healthier and it came against a Jaguars…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at New York Jets: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-7) at New York Jets (3-9) The Saints got off to a 5-2 start, but injuries and other absences have completely derailed their season. Already without top wide receiver Michael Thomas from the start of the year, the Saints have been without starting quarterback Jameis Winston, top…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (8-4) at Washington Football Team (6-6) The Cowboys have slowed down since their 6-1 start, falling to 8-4 after losing three of their last five games, but their big problem has really just been that they haven’t been healthy, most notably missing their top two edge defenders DeMarcus…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings: 2021 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5-1) at Minnesota Vikings (5-7) A week ago on the early line, the Vikings were favored by 4.5 points in this matchup, but this line has since fallen all the way down to 3, a significant shift, given that about 1 in 6 games are decided by a…
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Continue reading →: 2021 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week KC -9.5 vs. DEN High Confidence Picks DET +7.5 vs. MIN Medium Confidence Picks SEA +3.5 vs. SF PHI -4.5 @ NYJ LV -1 vs. WAS LAC +3 @ CIN CHI +7.5 vs. ARZ NE +3 @ BUF Low Confidence Picks IND -10 @ HOU No…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: 2021 Week 13 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (8-4) at Buffalo Bills (7-4) Going into the season, I had both of these teams among the best in the league and so far that has been the case. It was a bit of a bumpy start for the Patriots, but they have won six straight games…
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