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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2021 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-2) Typically, NFL teams gradually lose talent as the season goes on, with players getting hurt as the season goes on. The Saints haven’t followed that pattern though, as they entered the season missing several key players, lost a few more players…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers: 2021 Week 8 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (3-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) The Patriots are just 3-4 with their three wins coming against the worst teams in the league in the Texans and the Jets (twice), but they’ve been very close to picking up a couple other wins, with three of their four…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals: 2021 Week 8 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Arizona Cardinals (7-0) The Packers have one loss and the Cardinals are undefeated, but these two teams aren’t that evenly matched. While the Cardinals have just two one-score wins and have won their seven games by an average of 15.9 points per game, the Packers…
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Continue reading →: 2021 Week 7 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI +3 @ LV High Confidence Picks CLE -1 vs. DEN KC -4 @ TEN BAL -6 vs. CIN Medium Confidence Picks NO -4.5 @ SEA NE -7 vs. NYJ NYG +3 vs. CAR Low Confidence Picks SF -4 vs. IND WAS +8 @ GB CHI…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at New England Patriots: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-4) at New England Patriots (2-4) The Patriots are just 2-4, but they’ve had some tough luck, as three of their four losses have come by 1 point, 2 points, and in overtime, which is about as close as losses get, including near wins against the Buccaneers…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-3) at Miami Dolphins (1-5) This is one of the toughest games of the week from a spread standpoint, with the Falcons favored by 2 points. Not only does my calculated line of Atlanta -1 not give us any real line value with either side, but the Dolphins…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-6) at Los Angeles Rams (5-1) The Lions are 0-6, but they aren’t usually getting blown out and, in fact, their -63 point differential isn’t even the worst in the league, as the Dolphins (-78) and Texans (-80) are both worse. On average, their losses have come by…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (2-4) at Green Bay Packers (5-1) The Packers are 5-1, but they are not the same team as they were a year ago when they went 13-3, as they are missing three of their best players, left tackle David Bahktari, edge defender Za’Darius Smith, and cornerback Jaire…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (3-2) at Seattle Seahawks (2-4) The Saints have been the most inconsistent team in the league thus far this season, leading the league in DVOA variance, with their losses coming in overtime to a 1-win Giants team and in blowout fashion to a Panthers team that has…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans: 2021 Week 7 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) at Tennessee Titans (4-2) The Chiefs lost at home to the Bills a couple weeks ago and then the Bills went to Tennessee the following week and lost as 6-point favorites. Now with the Chiefs going to Tennessee, they are only 4-point favorites and seen as…
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