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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-1) The Chargers pulled a big upset win over the Chiefs last week, but they needed to win the turnover battle by 4 to do so, which is not predictive week-to-week. In more predictive metrics, the Chargers had a -7.92% first down…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-0) at Los Angeles Rams (3-0) The Rams are getting all of the attention for their 3-0 start, but the Cardinals have been equally impressive, if not more so, actually ranking slightly higher overall than the Rams in more predictive metrics. Despite that, the Rams are being favored…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) The Steelers have lost at home in back-to-back weeks to the Raiders and Bengals. Injuries have been part of the problem and they will get their top-2 edge rushers TJ Watt and Alex Highsmith back this week, but their problems go beyond…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at New Orleans Saints: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-1) The Saints have easily been the most unpredictable team in the league thus far this season, with their two wins coming by 35 points and 15 points and their one loss coming by 19 points. It’s hard to figure them out,…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (3-0) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) The Cowboys have proven they have among the best offenses in the league. A year ago, they finished 13th in first down rate despite missing their starting quarterback and their top-3 offensive linemen for most of the season, including a 4th place rank…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 4 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) I would have liked the Bengals a lot more in this matchup a week ago. The Bengals were favored by 6.5 points on the early line and were in a good spot, as non-divisional home favorites of 6 points or more are 19-7-2…
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Continue reading →: 2021 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CLE -7 vs. CHI High Confidence Picks TB -1.5 @ LAR CIN +3 @ PIT Medium Confidence Picks NE -3 vs. NO NYG -3 vs. ATL BUF -7 vs. WAS KC -6.5 vs. LAC Low Confidence Picks DET +8 vs. BAL MIN +2 vs. SEA IND…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at Buffalo Bills: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-1) The Bills’ offense seems unlikely to be as good as it was a year ago, which is not really a surprise given how many things went perfectly for this unit in 2020, but their defense seems much improved, ranking 2nd in first…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1) This game is tough to project because we don’t know how effective Carson Wentz is going to be, playing through two sprained ankles, and he technically isn’t even a lock to start, as he could still be ruled out pre-game in favor of…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys: 2021 Week 3 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1) The Cowboys have had a tough start to their season, going on the road to the Buccaneers and Chargers. The Cowboys split those games to go 1-1 and now they return home to be favored by 3.5 points over the Eagles, but this…