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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-4) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5) in London Typically, the rule of thumb in these international games is to take the favorite, who has covered at a 66.7% rate all-time, which makes sense, given that the better team is probably better equipped to deal with playing a game after…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-1) at Chicago Bears (3-2) The Bears are somehow 3-2, but their three wins haven’t been that impressive. They beat a middling Bengals team by 3 in a game in which they won the turnover battle by 3, but lost the yards per play battle by 1.22,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-1) at New York Giants (1-4) This line shifted from favoring the Rams by 6.5 points on the early line to now favoring them by 9 this week, crossing the key number of 7, a margin which decides about 10% of games. That shift is likely primarily…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at New England Patriots (2-3) The Patriots are 2-3 with their only wins coming against the Jets and Texans, and the latter was a near loss, but they also could have easily beaten the Dolphins and the Buccaneers, who beat the Patriots by a combined three points…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) at Denver Broncos (3-2) In a normal situation, I would like the Raiders a lot this week, as 4-point underdogs in Denver. The Broncos got out to an 3-0 start, beating an easy schedule, but also winning by an average of 16.7 points. However, they have…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2021 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) The Seahawks are in trouble, sitting at 2-3 in the best division in the NFL, having now lost starting quarterback Russell Wilson for an extended period of time with a finger injury. Wilson hasn’t missed a start since joining the Seahawks in 2012…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-3) at Carolina Panthers (3-2) The Vikings are just 2-3, but their three losses have come by a combined 11 points, giving them a positive point differential of +4, despite the fact that the Vikings have faced one of the toughest schedules in the league, 2nd in terms…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Football Team: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) at Washington Football Team (2-3) The Chiefs are 2-3 right now, but there isn’t much real reason for concern. Their issues have almost entirely been concentrated on the defensive side of the ball, as they lead the league in first down rate, but also in yards…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) at Detroit Lions (0-5) The Bengals took the Packers to overtime last week, but even though the Packers were missing several key players due to injury and even though Aaron Rodgers typically struggles on the road, relative to how well he plays at home, the Bengals were…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles: 2021 Week 6 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) The Buccaneers are obviously one of the best teams in the league, but they are dealing with more injuries than they were a year ago, when they were one of the healthiest teams in the league. In total, they are missing three…
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