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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-4) The Dolphins are 7-4, but they haven’t been as good as their record. They have faced an easy schedule, including three wins over the Jaguars and Jets (twice), and they have benefited significantly from things like a +6 turnover margin, a +3 return…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-7) at Chicago Bears (5-6) The Lions have had a tough season, as they are just 4-7 despite a relatively easy schedule and have just one win by more than a field goal, against a Jaguars team that is one of the worst in the league. In terms…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (7-4) at Arizona Cardinals (6-5) The Rams lead the NFL with a +4.63% schedule adjusted first down rate differential, while the Cardinals rank 9th at +2.02%, but there is reason to believe the Cardinals can be the better team going forward. While the Rams are a defensive…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Minnesota Vikings: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6) The Vikings started just 1-5, but there were a lot of reasons to believe they’d be significantly better going forward, as they were struggling primarily due to metrics that are highly inconsistent on a week-to-week basis and they had faced a tough schedule.…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 13 NFL Pick Early Locks
I will have full write ups for both games with the rest of the games this weekend, but I am locking these lines in early before lines move. HOU +3.5 vs. IND ARZ +3 vs. LAR
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 12 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TB +3.5 vs. KC High Confidence Picks TEN +3.5 @ IND GB -7.5 vs. CHI Medium Confidence Picks WAS +3 @ DAL NYG -5.5 @ CIN SEA -5 @ PHI DEN +16.5 vs. NO ATL +3.5 vs. LV PIT -9.5 vs. BAL Low Confidence Picks NE…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-7) at Minnesota Vikings (4-6) The Vikings are just 4-6, but there is plenty of reason to believe they’ll be better going forward. Not only have they faced an above average schedule thus far, but a lot of the metrics they’ve struggled in are ones that are very…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (3-7) at Buffalo Bills (7-3) The Chargers have once again been one of the most injury prone teams in the league. It started when they lost stud safety Derwin James, arguably their top defensive player, for the season with injury before the season even began and over…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (4-6) at Los Angeles Rams (7-3) This is a tough call. This could be a look ahead spot for the Rams, facing a banged up 49ers team, ahead of a much bigger divisional matchup in Arizona next week. Teams are just 54-71 ATS at home against a…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 12 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-6-1) The Seahawks have not played as well as their record would suggest this season, going 5-2 in one score games, with a +31 point differential and a 17th ranked +0.26% first down rate differential, but I expect them to play better than that…
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