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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-8) at Carolina Panthers (4-8) The Broncos have been a tough team to predict this season, as they’ve played within one score of teams like the Titans, Steelers, and Chiefs, while beating teams like the Dolphins and Patriots, but they’ve also lost 4 times by at least 18…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (6-6) at New York Giants (5-7) Coming out of their bye week a couple weeks ago, the Giants looked like they would be a good bet going forward. They were just 3-7, but they had faced a tough schedule to start their season, including 9 out of 10…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (9-3) at Detroit Lions (5-7) Ordinarily, when a good team has back-to-back easy games, that team tends to fare very well in the first game, without any upcoming distractions on the schedule. That’s especially true when their opponent has another tough game on deck, as favorites of…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-8) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-9) Both of these teams have had disappointing seasons in the win-loss column, but both have been better than their record. The Chargers were blown out 45-0 by the Patriots last week, but most of their losses have been close, as they previously…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) at Buffalo Bills (9-3) These two teams are almost identical in schedule adjusted first down rate differential, with the Steelers ranking 5th at +2.37% and the Bills ranking 6th at +2.24%, but they do it in very different ways. The Steelers dominate on defense, ranking 2nd in…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Las Vegas Raiders (7-5) The Colts only have a one game edge in the standings, but record is not always indicative of how a team has played and the Colts have been the clearly better of these two teams this season, with clear edges in point…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-8-1) It may seem crazy, but there are reasons to like the Eagles this week and I strongly considered betting on them as home underdogs of a touchdown against the Saints. The Eagles’ offensive struggles have been well documented this season, but what’s…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) at Miami Dolphins (8-4) The Dolphins are 8-4, but they’ve faced one of the easier schedules in the league, with half of their wins coming against the three teams (Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets) who rank in the bottom-3 in schedule adjusted first down rate differential. They’ve…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) The Vikings have jumped to 6-6 after their 1-5 start, but I still think they’re a little underrated, as a lot of the metrics that suggested they’d be better after their 1-5 start still suggest they can be better going forward. They…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (8-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-11) Coming into the season, most expected the Jaguars to be one of the worst teams in the league, if not the worst team. The Jaguars surprisingly made the AFC Championship game in 2017 led by probably the league’s best defense, but teams led…
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