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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (4-2) at Detroit Lions (3-3) This is another game I locked in earlier this week, back when the line was 2.5, and I am glad I did because sharp money has pushed this line up to 3 since and about 1 in 6 games are decided by exactly…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (1-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-1) The Vikings have just one win, but there is reason to believe they’ll be a lot better than that going forward, coming out of last week’s bye. In many ways, they remind me of last year’s Atlanta Falcons, who started 1-7, but…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 8 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-6) at Carolina Panthers (3-4) Coming into the season, I had the Falcons as the better of these two teams and on paper they have more talent, but the Panthers have actually outplayed them by a pretty significant amount. The Panthers have faced a tough schedule overall and…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 7 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NE -2 vs. SF High Confidence Picks DEN +8 vs. KC Medium Confidence Picks HOU +3.5 vs. GB ARZ +3.5 vs. SEA TB -4 @ LV Low Confidence Picks NYG +4.5 @ PHI CAR +7.5 @ NO LAC -7.5 vs. JAX TEN -1 vs. PIT ATL…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (5-1) at Los Angeles Rams (4-2) Both of these teams have impressive records, but neither team has been as good as its record suggests. The Rams have faced one of the easiest schedules in the league and have only beaten teams from the NFC East, getting lucky enough…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Las Vegas Raiders: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) at Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) The Raiders have had a tough start to their season. The easiest game they’ve had so far was on the road in Carolina against a capable Panthers team and in their other four games they’ve had to face the Chiefs, Patriots,…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-4-1) I expected the Bengals to be a competitive team this season. Though they went just 2-14 last season, they lost 8 of those games by one score or less and finished 24th in first down rate differential at -3.47%, primarily due to a…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (2-3) at Atlanta Falcons (1-5) These two teams are pretty similar. Both teams look like middling teams on paper, but have struggled in first down rate differential, with the Falcons ranking 30th at -5.53% and the Lions ranking 28th at -4.83%. Both teams have primarily struggled on defense,…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-2) at New York Jets (0-6) The Jets are not just the last remaining winless team and the worst team in the league; they’re the worst team in the league by a wide margin and one of the worst teams of all time statistically. None of their games…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans: 2020 Week 7 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-0) at Tennessee Titans (5-0) Both of these teams are undefeated at 5-0, but both teams have been less than stellar for stretches this season. The Steelers faced one of the easiest schedules in the league in their first 4 games of the season and managed just a…
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