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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots: 2019 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Tennessee Titans (9-7) at New England Patriots (12-4) This is a tough game to predict. If I were basing this pick solely off how these teams have played recently, the Titans would be an easy choice. Since turning to Ryan Tannehill under center following their week 6 loss in Denver,…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Regular Season Pick Results
2019 Total Against the Spread: 130-118-8 (52.34%) Pick of the Week: 12-3-2 (76.47%) High Confidence Picks: 18-11-1 (61.67%) Medium Confidence Picks: 34-34-2 (50.00%) Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 64-48-5 (56.84%) Low Confidence Picks: 35-37-1 (48.63%) No Confidence Picks: 31-33-2 (48.48%) Upset Picks: 22-19 (53.66%) 2018 Total Against the Spread:…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 17 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CIN +3 vs. CLE High Confidence Picks LAC +9 @ KC Medium Confidence Picks IND -4 @ JAX NYG +4.5 vs. PHI DAL -11 vs. WAS Low Confidence Picks DEN -3.5 vs. OAK SEA +3.5 vs. SF BAL +2 vs. PIT NE -16 vs. MIA TB…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-9-1) at Los Angeles Rams (8-7) The Rams have had a very disappointing 2019 season. After going 13-3 and representing the NFC in the Super Bowl last year, the Rams sit at just 8-7 and have been eliminated from the playoff race entirely ahead of week 17 this…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) One of the biggest betting edges I’ve discovered over the years is the lack of week-to-week correlation between turnover margins. The winner of the turnover margin wins the game about 80% of the time, but turnover margins have no predictability week-to-week. Teams…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (12-3) at Seattle Seahawks (11-4) The Seahawks have been overrated for most of the season, as 10 of their 11 wins have come by 8 points or fewer. Last week, they got embarrassed at home in a 27-13 loss to the last place Cardinals, pushing their record…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (8-7) at New York Giants (4-11) The Eagles put themselves in the driver’s seat in the NFC East with a win over the Cowboys last week, but they haven’t locked the division up just yet. It would take a loss and a Cowboys win for the Eagles to…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (7-8) at Denver Broncos (6-9) The Raiders are just 7-8, but are actually still alive for a wild card spot in the AFC. They’ll need to win this game and have several other things break their way (the Steelers and Titans both losing and the Colts winning to…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (7-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10) The Jaguars don’t have the worst record in the NFL, but they’re arguably the worst team in the league. They rank dead last in the NFL in first down rate differential at -7.39% and have been even worse since trading away cornerback Jalen…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys: 2019 Week 17 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-12) at Dallas Cowboys (7-8) The Cowboys are just 7-8 and their playoff hopes are hanging by a thread, needing a win and a Philadelphia loss to win the historically bad NFC East. Despite that, they rank 7th in the NFL with a +82 point differential. Their average…
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