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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 15 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (10-3) at Carolina Panthers (5-8) The Panthers got off to a 4-2 start, but they’ve been an entirely different team since their week 7 bye, ranking 29th in first down rate differential over that stretch at -5.60% and losing 6 of 7 games. First time starting quarterback Kyle…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Arizona Cardinals: 2019 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (6-7) at Arizona Cardinals (3-9-1) Expected to be a contender in the AFC this year, the Browns have been massively disappointing, entering this game at 6-7 with little chance of getting into the post-season. Despite their underwhelming record, I think they’re still a little overrated. People look at…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens: 2019 Week 15 NFL Pick
New York Jets (5-8) at Baltimore Ravens (11-2) The Ravens were 4-2 through the first 6 weeks of the season, but they had just one win by more than a touchdown, despite playing a trio of teams that currently have three wins or fewer (Miami, Arizona, Cincinnati). Since then, however,…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NE -3 vs. KC High Confidence Picks ATL -3 vs. CAR TEN -3 @ OAK LAC -3 @ JAX DAL -3 @ CHI Medium Confidence Picks CIN +7 @ CLE PIT -2 @ ARZ MIA +5 @ NYJ BAL -6 @ BUF DEN +8 @ HOU…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-10) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) The Eagles’ season hit an embarrassing low last week with their loss to the Dolphins. The Eagles have a top-10 roster on paper, but have been a middle of the pack team in first down rate differential all season and enter this…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (3-8-1) at Minnesota Vikings (8-4) The Lions’ season has gone off the rails since losing quarterback Matt Stafford to an injury. They had a record of 3-4-1 when Stafford went down and have lost 4 straight without him to fall out of post-season contention entirely. The Lions ranked…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) The Colts are just 6-6 after back-to-back divisional losses to the Texans and Titans, but they could be 8-4 right now if not for missed makeable field goals against the Chargers and Steelers. In terms of first down rate differential, they rank…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (10-2) at New Orleans Saints (10-2) This is one of the biggest games of the year, as it could be an NFC Championship preview and could easily end up deciding homefield advantage throughout the playoffs in the NFC when all is said and done. The 49ers have…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-9) at New York Jets (4-8) At one point, the Dolphins seemed like they might not win a game all season, but they’ve managed 3 wins in recent weeks. They still rank dead last in first down rate differential at -7.40%, despite those wins, but they’ve been better…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers: 2019 Week 14 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-9) at Green Bay Packers (9-3) The Packers have been close to an auto-bet at home with Aaron Rodgers under center, going 42-21 ATS since 2011 in games that Rodgers starts and finishes. Unfortunately, we’re not getting good line value with them at home this week. The Packers…
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