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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (7-7-1) at Baltimore Ravens (9-6) The Ravens have gone 5-1 since turning to Lamar Jackson at quarterback, but they’ve actually moved the ball at a slightly worse rate, picking up first downs at a 34.28% rate in Jackson’s 6 starts, as opposed to 36.46% in Joe Flacco’s 9…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (7-8) at Buffalo Bills (5-10) The Dolphins have 7 wins and were in the playoff race late in the season, but they haven’t been nearly as good as their record and have arguably been one of the worst teams in the league. While their 7 wins have come…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-10) The Falcons have had a disappointing season and will be watching the post-season from home, but they’ve played better in recent weeks thanks to the return of dominant every down linebacker Deion Jones. Key defensive players suffering significant injuries early in the…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at New England Patriots: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
New York Jets (4-11) at New England Patriots (10-5) I bet on the Patriots as 13-point favorites last week at home against the Bills. They nearly covered, holding a 24-6 lead with 2 minutes left in the game before allowing the backdoor cover, but I never really felt comfortable with…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-12) at Seattle Seahawks (9-6) Unlike other games this week, I am confident the Seahawks will play their starters the whole way in this game, unless they jump out to a huge lead, in which case covering this spread shouldn’t be a problem. The Seahawks are locked into…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (9-6) at New York Giants (5-10) This is another game with motivational uncertainty. The Cowboys are locked into the #4 seed in the NFC and have rested starts with nothing to play for in the past, but Jason Garrett at least publicly says he’s treating this as a…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (6-9) at New Orleans Saints (13-2) This is one of several games this week that is unpredictable because of uncertainty about motivation. Saints head coach Sean Payton is at least giving lip service to playing his starters, but with the #1 seed in the NFC locked up it’s…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: 2018 Week 17 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (11-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6-1) Vikings came into the season with high expectations, but now are fighting for their playoff lives against a team that had the kind of year they were expected to have, the 11-4 Bears, who have clinched the NFC North. The Vikings have been…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 16 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week GB -2.5 @ NYJ High Confidence Picks IND -9 vs. NYG Medium Confidence Picks NE -13 vs. BUF NO -6.5 vs. PIT LAR -14 @ ARZ Low Confidence Picks MIN -6 @ DET CLE -9 vs. CIN OAK +3 vs. DEN LAC -4.5 vs. BAL TEN…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins: 2018 Week 16 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) at Miami Dolphins (7-7) The Dolphins are 7-7, but have not played nearly as well as their record. While their 7 wins have come by a combined 38 points, their 7 losses have come by a combined 117 points, giving them a -79 point differential that ranks…
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