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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (7-6) at Minnesota Vikings (6-6-1) The Dolphins pulled off one of the craziest victories in recent memory last week, beating the New England Patriots on a last second lateral play that went 69 yards, pulling the 34-33 upset as 8-point home underdogs. Teams are typically flat the following…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (5-8) at Buffalo Bills (4-9) Earlier in the week, I was strongly considering betting on the Lions in this game, for a couple of reasons. For one, the Lions typically play well against losing teams, while struggling against good teams. Since 2014, they are 20-12 ATS against teams…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (5-7-1) at Chicago Bears (9-4) The Packers played arguably their best game of the season last week in their first game without long-time head coach Mike McCarthy, but the injuries have really started adding up for this team. Already without starting right tackle Bryan Bulaga, starting left…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (5-7-1) at Denver Broncos (6-7) This line favored the Broncos by 6.5 points a week ago, but the line has since dropped all the way down to 2.5. Normally I love going against significant week-to-week line movements like that, as they tend to be an overreaction to a…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New York Jets: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (9-4) at New York Jets (4-9) This is a tough one. On one hand, the Texans have played a lot of close games this year. They are 9-4, but have just 4 wins by more than a touchdown, including just one road win by more than a touchdown,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (10-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-2) These two teams met all the way back in week 1, with the Chiefs winning 38-28 in Los Angeles. That game swung on a few plays though, despite it being a 10-point game, as the Chargers turned the ball over twice…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI +3.5 @ DAL High Confidence Picks NO -9.5 @ TB DET -2.5 @ ARZ Medium Confidence Picks TEN -4 vs. JAX CHI +3 vs. LAR OAK +10 vs. PIT WAS +3 vs. NYG IND +4 @ HOU Low Confidence Picks CLE +1.5 vs. CAR BAL…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-5-1) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5) The Seahawks are now 7-5 after a 0-2 start, but this is far from a vintage Seahawks team. Their offense has been solid, ranking 13th in first down rate at 38.09% and improving as the season has gone along, but their defense is…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-8) These two teams met week 10 in New York in a game the Bills shockingly won 41-10 as 7-point underdogs, despite starting journeyman Matt Barkley, signed 11 days prior, at quarterback. Going into that game, the Bills had a league worst 25.85%…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Houston Texans (9-3) Injuries have been the story this season for the Colts. They started out the season as arguably the most injury plagued team in the league and went 1-5 as a result, but then they ripped off 5 straight wins, before injuries started to…
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