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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-4) at Chicago Bears (3-5) Since losing Aaron Rodgers with a broken collarbone in the first quarter against the Vikings, the Packers have lost 3 straight games against the Vikings, Saints, and Lions, by an average of 11.7 points per game. As a result, the public has…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
New York Jets (4-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6) One of my favorite things to do when picking games is go against significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to a single week, and this line had a very significant line movement, shifting from 4.5 in favor…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (5-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-4) Early in the week, I locked in the Cowboys at +3.5 and I was considering them as a Pick of the Week. They’ve played much better since getting top linebacker Sean Lee back from injury and they always play well on the road,…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-2) at Denver Broncos (3-5) This line has the Broncos as 7.5 point home underdogs against the Patriots and I don’t understand it. The Broncos were just 7 point road underdogs in Philadelphia last week and the Eagles are playing significantly better than the Patriots this season.…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (6-2) at Buffalo Bills (5-3) The Bills started the season 5-2 on the strength of a league best +14 turnover margin, but turnover margins tend to be inconsistent on a week-to-week basis and they ranked just 28th in first down rate differential. Last week, they lost 34-21…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (5-3) at Arizona Cardinals (4-4) The Seahawks lost at home to a banged up Redskins team last week, causing this line to drop from 7 in favor of the Seahawks on the early line last week to 6 this week. That might not seem like a huge line…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 9 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week IND +7 @ HOU High Confidence Picks TEN -3.5 vs. BAL Medium Confidence Picks SF +2.5 vs. ARZ PHI -7 vs. DEN Low Confidence Picks KC +2.5 @ DAL GB +2.5 vs. DET TB +7 @ NO WAS +7.5 @ SEA NYJ +3.5 vs. BUF OAK…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: 2017 Week 9 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-4) at San Francisco 49ers (0-8) The 49ers entered the season with among the worst rosters in the NFL and things have just gotten worse from there thanks to injuries. The 49ers are currently without left tackle Joe Staley, #1 wide receiver Pierre Garcon, defensive ends Solomon Thomas,…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2017 Week 9 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-3) at Carolina Panthers (5-3) The Panthers made a bizarre move at the trade deadline on Tuesday, trading #1 wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin to the Bills for a 3rd and 7th round pick. With Benjamin going into the final year of his contract in 2018, it’s the kind…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks: 2017 Week 9 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-4) at Seattle Seahawks (5-2) The Seahawks have to play again 4 days after this game as they are on Thursday Night Football in week 10. Favorites typically do not do well before Thursday Night Football, going 60-92 ATS since 2008 in that spot. There are two big…
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