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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (4-2) at Chicago Bears (2-4) Minnesota is favored here by a point on the road in Chicago. That’s a pretty reasonable line. Minnesota ranks 13th in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Bears rank 26th. However, the Bears are at home, which obviously helps, and they’re…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick in London
Detroit Lions (1-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (2-5) in London Typically, the better team covers in London. This wasn’t true last week, when Jacksonville was able to beat Buffalo (favored by 4.5) in a close one, but favorites have covered in 8 of the last 11 London games (8-5 ATS…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-4) at Atlanta Falcons (6-1) The Falcons aren’t quite as good as their 6-1 record, as evidenced by their recent road loss in New Orleans and mere 3 point victory in Tennessee against a Titans team that was playing without Marcus Mariota. However, they still rank 7th…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-0) at Denver Broncos (6-0) Both the Packers and Broncos enter this one undefeated. The only other time since 1989 when two undefeated teams met this late in the season was week 9 of 2007, when the Patriots (who eventually went 16-0) visited the Indianapolis Colts. Like…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (2-5) at Baltimore Ravens (1-6) The Ravens have had a brutal start to their season, losing 6 of their first 7 games. However, they’ve been on the road in 5 of those 7 games and they’re typically a better team at home. They are 47-13 at home…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-5) Typically, I like fading significant line movements, because they tend to be week-to-week overreactions. This game does feature one, as the Cardinals were 4 point favorites on the early line last week, but are now favored by 6, probably as a result of…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-3) at New England Patriots (6-0) Dan Campbell has looked like the best coach in the NFL through 2 games, as the Dolphins have won their last 2 games since the bye by double digits, taking big early leads in both of them. This comes after the Dolphins…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 7 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (5-0) The Panthers are 5-0 and rank 5th in rate of moving the chains differential, but they’re only favored by 35 points here. That’s reasonable though, considering the Eagles rank 7th in rate of moving the chains differential and considering the Eagles are in…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 7 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-5) Ben Roethlisberger has missed the last 3 games with injury, but he practiced some this week and has travelled to Kansas City for this game. He’s not expected to play, but the possibility that he is able to go is worth thinking…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 7 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (3-2) at Detroit Lions (1-5) Both of these two teams are missing key defensive players for this one. The Vikings will be without Sharrif Floyd, a 3rd year defensive tackle who was one of the best defensive tackles in the NFL in 2014 and who has continued that…