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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Giants (3-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) The Eagles are favored here by 4.5 on Monday Night Football, pretty reasonable when you consider that the Eagles rank 11th in rate of moving the chains differential, while the Giants rank 16th. However, the Giants are in such a great spot…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (4-0) at Indianapolis Colts (3-2) Normally, I love fading huge line movements, I can fade a heavy public lean in the process, as huge line movements are typically because of week-to-week overreactions. This game had one of those line movements, as the Colts have gone from being…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (1-4) at San Francisco 49ers (1-4) The Ravens are a shocking 1-4 to start the season, but their 5 games have been decided by a combined 20 points, so they could easily be 2-3, 3-2, 4-1, even 0-5 or 5-0 if a few things had changed. They rank…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-0) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3) The Seahawks have a well-documented homefield advantage, but I think it’s kind of too well-documented at this point, to the point where the Seahawks always get a ton of extra points at home. As a result, they are just 6-5 ATS in their…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (5-0) at Buffalo Bills (3-2) Ordinarily, I love fading significant line movements because they’re usually overreactions to one week of action and this line moved from Buffalo being favored by 1.5 to now being home underdogs of a field goal. That’s significant. However, I still like the Bengals…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New York Jets: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-3) at New York Jets (3-1) The Jets have been pleasantly surprising to start the season. They beat Cleveland, Indianapolis, and Miami pretty convincingly, though they did lose at home to the Eagles. Still, a 3-1 record with impressive victories is a pleasant surprise for a team that…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (2-3) at Green Bay Packers (5-0) I write about the Packers’ home dominance every week they play at home and there’s a good reason for that. As long as Aaron Rodgers starts (minus any games he’s been knocked out very early with injuries), the Packers are 30-11-1…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 6 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (5-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-4) The Falcons won at home last week against the Redskins in overtime on a pick six, but the fact that the Falcons had to go to overtime really hurts them this week, as they go on the road on a short week…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (1-3) Chip Kelly did everything he could to put his stamp on the Eagles this off-season, changing just about everything. They swapped quarterbacks with the Rams, trading Nick Foles for Sam Bradford. They sent running back LeSean McCoy to Buffalo for middle linebacker…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-3) at New York Giants (2-2) The Giants have rebounded from an 0-2 start, winning the last two games and putting themselves in good position to win the wide open NFC East. Some are even pointing out that the Giants could easily be 4-0, which is true,…