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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) The Chiefs are only 1-3, but it’s hard to blame them considering their last 3 games have all come against undefeated teams (Denver, Green Bay, and Kansas City) and they have been pretty competitive in all 3 games. The only easy game…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-1) at Detroit Lions (0-4) The Lions are the league’s last remaining winless team at 0-4. Many think they should have won last week in Seattle because the refs missed a pivotal call at the end of the game, but, regardless of the outcome, they definitely got outplayed…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-0) at Oakland Raiders (2-2) The Broncos are one of six remaining undefeated teams, but haven’t been as dominant as they typically have been in the Peyton Manning era. Their matchups with Baltimore, Kansas City, and Minnesota all could have gone a different way, while their 24-12 win…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-0) Currently, the Bengals are projected to be 1.5 point underdogs in Buffalo next week, according to the early line. The Seahawks, meanwhile, are projected to be 7.5 point favorites at home for Carolina next week. Favorites are 67-111 ATS since 2010 before being…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) at San Diego Chargers (2-2) Those who follow me know I love to fade significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be overreactions to one week. This game features one of those, as the early line had San Diego favored by 6.5 and they’re now favored…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (1-3) at Baltimore Ravens (1-3) The Baltimore Ravens have had a tough start to their season. They played their first 2 games on the road, in Denver and Oakland, losing both. The Oakland game was one they should have won and needed to win, but there’s no shame…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-2) Tennessee was originally going to be my Pick of the Week at the beginning of the week. I changed that for a few reasons. For one, the line moved from 3 in favor of Buffalo to 1 mid-week, which is a significant line…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-0) The Falcons are a surprising 4-0, one of 6 undefeated teams left in the NFL. However, when you look at the teams they’ve played, it’s not that surprising. They’ve played Philadelphia, the NY Giants (both of whom they barely beat), Dallas (without Tony…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) The Buccaneers are going into a bye here, but that’s not a good thing, as counterintuitive as that might seem. Big home favorites (6+) typically do very well before a bye (59-19 ATS since 2002), but, for whatever reason, small home favorites…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (3-0) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2) How good has the Patriots’ offense been this season? Well, only two teams have more offensive touchdowns than they do (Cincinnati and Atlanta) and that’s despite the fact that the Patriots are coming off of a bye and 30 teams have played…