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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2015 Week 9 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-4) The bye came at the perfect time for the Buffalo Bills, who limped into the bye with two straight losses, including a loss in London to the Jaguars, in a game in which they were missing starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor, talented backup running…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 9 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Carolina Panthers (7-0) The Packers are coming off of an embarrassing offensive performance in a loss in Denver. Their high powered offense moved the chains at a mere 68.18% rate and generated just 140 yards of offense, the fewest they’ve had in a game started…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 9 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-0) The Bengals are 7-0 for the first time in franchise history and are one of four remaining undefeated teams. Their undefeated season is highly unlikely to end this week, as they’re favored by 10 at home against the lowly Browns. I actually don’t…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at New Orleans Saints: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
New York Giants (4-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-4) The Saints were only 2 point favorites in this one last week, but, after their upset victory in Indianapolis, this line moved to 3.5, significant, considering 1 in 6 games is decided by a field goal. Typically, I like to go…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-5) at St. Louis Rams (3-3) The Rams are not as good as their 3-3 record, as they rank 29th in rate of moving the chains differential. Given that, it might seem a little silly that they’re favored by 9 here against the 49ers. However, I think…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-5) at Houston Texans (2-5) The Texans are going into a bye this week. That might sound like a good thing, but it’s not, as counterintuitive as that might seem. Big home favorites (6+) typically do very well before a bye (59-20 ATS since 2002), but, for whatever reason,…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (3-4) at Carolina Panthers (6-0) Andrew Luck hasn’t looked right this season. His recent shoulder injury hasn’t helped, but he wasn’t playing well before that either, as he’s graded out as Pro Football Focus’ worst ranked quarterback, only ahead of Matt Stafford, on the season. It might be…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (6-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) The Steelers get a huge boost this week, getting Ben Roethlisberger back from injury, and it comes at a perfect time, with the undefeated Bengals coming to town. The Steelers moved the chains at an 81.25% rate in the first 2 games of…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Oakland Raiders: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
New York Jets (4-2) at Oakland Raiders (3-3) Both of these teams have exceeded expectations this season, after being among the worst teams in the league last season. However, the Jets have been significantly better, ranking 4th in rate of moving the chains differential, while Oakland comes in 17th. Ryan…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 8 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (2-4) The Dallas Cowboys lost their 2nd most important offensive player (wide receiver Dez Bryant) to a serious injury in the first week of the season and their most important offensive player (quarterback Tony Romo) to a serious injury in the second week of…
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