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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-6) at Indianapolis Colts (7-4) What the hell happened to the Colts? The same team that knocked off the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks before the bye has been playing terrible football in the four weeks since the bye, barely beating Tennessee and Houston by a field goal (after…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) at San Diego Chargers (5-6) I’m pretty torn on this one. On one hand, the Chargers could be completely flat off of last week’s insane last second win in Kansas City. Favorites generally struggle off of close road wins as underdogs, going 27-51 ATS off of a…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (9-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) It’s crazy how quickly a team can go from overrated to underrated in the blink of an eye in the NFL. Two weeks ago, the Chiefs were 8 point underdogs in Denver and the public refused to believe that a 9-0 team…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-8) at Carolina Panthers (8-3) At first glance, Carolina definitely seems like the right side here. Tampa Bay’s fluky win in Detroit last week moved this line 2.5 points, from 11 to 8.5, from last week to this week. That’s significant. The reason I call Tampa Bay’s…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Houston Texans: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (8-3) at Houston Texans (2-9) The Raiders beat the Texans by 5 in Houston. The Jaguars beat the Texans by 7 in Houston. Surely the Patriots can beat them by 9 or more in Houston right? Well, that seems to be what the public is thinking as…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (9-2) at Seattle Seahawks (10-1) There’s a pretty powerful trend that says when two teams who are about to undergo a scheduling dynamic change (from dog to favorite or favorite to dog) play each other, the dog covers more often than not. The favorite is distracted by…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Buffalo Bills: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-7) The Falcons came into last week on a 4 game losing streak, having lost those last 4 by a combined 74 points. However, they were able to play the Saints very close at home in Atlanta in a 17-13 loss. Some people might…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-6) at Baltimore Ravens (5-6) The Ravens have been pretty unbeatable at home over the past few seasons, going 27-4 at home since 2010. Even this year, their worst year of that time frame, they are 5-1 at home, including 6-0 ATS. Because of that, I automatically think…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Dallas Cowboys: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (4-7) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5) I’m completely split on this one. On one hand, non-divisional home favorites dominate on Thursdays, going 30-14 ATS since 1989. This makes sense. Playing on a short week is rough, but it’s even rougher when you have to travel on a short week.…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2013 Week 13 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (5-5-1) at Detroit Lions (6-5) The Lions were sitting pretty atop the NFC North two weeks ago at 6-3. Now two weeks later? Well, they still lead the division, but largely because of the ineptitude of their division rivals over the past 2 weeks. The Lions have…
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