-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (9-4) at Seattle Seahawks (7-6) A week ago on the early line, the 49ers were just 1.5-point favorites in this game in Seattle, but the line has since shifted to 3.5, a significant shift, given that 1 in 6 games are decided by three points exactly, with…
-
Continue reading →: 2022 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIA -3 @ LAC High Confidence Picks PHI -7 @ NYG Medium Confidence Picks JAX +3.5 @ TEN TB +3.5 @ SF NE -1.5 @ ARZ Low Confidence Picks BAL +2 @ PIT MIN +2 @ DET KC -9.5 @ DEN SEA -3.5 vs. CAR BUF…
-
Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Jets (7-5) at Buffalo Bills (9-3) The Bills are favored by 10 points in this game against the Jets, who are at least a middling team, ranking 13th in schedule adjusted efficiency. That might seem high at first glance, but the Bills have had a tendency to blow…
-
Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Denver Broncos (3-9) The Broncos have been the most disappointing team in the league this season, going just 3-9 and ranking 31st in schedule adjusted efficiency, about 6.5 points below average, meaning they’ve legitimately been as bad as their record suggests, despite entering the year…
-
Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-4) This game is a tough call, with both teams being better than their records. The Bengals have four losses, but you can still argue they are one of the best teams in the league, with two of those losses coming in the first…
-
Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-10-1) at Dallas Cowboys (9-3) This line is high, favoring the Cowboys over the Texans by 17 points. The Texans have been the worst team in the league this season, ranking dead last in schedule adjusted efficiency (6.5 points below average) and dead last in point differential (-99),…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-8) The Cardinals were at the top of my overrated teams list coming into the season. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th in overall…
-
Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (10-2) at Detroit Lions (5-7) The Vikings have not played nearly as good as their 10-2 record, going an unsustainable 9-0 in one score games, managing just a +10 point differential, and ranking just 18th in schedule adjusted efficiency. However, the public seems to understand that their record…
-
Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7) A week ago on the early line, the Ravens were favored by four points, but this line has since shifted all the way to Pittsburgh -2. The reason for that line movement is understandable, as the Ravens will be without franchise quarterback Lamar…
-
Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-8) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5) A week ago on the early line, the Seahawks were 6.5-point favorites, but this line has since shrunk all the way down to 3.5. The Seahawks won last week, albeit in relatively uninspiring fashion against a bad Rams team, but it was still…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
