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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-5) at Miami Dolphins (2-3) This game wasn’t originally on the schedule last week (part of the games that were moved around to accommodate COVID cancellations), but it’s hard to imagine the Dolphins would have been favored on the early line by 9 like they are now.…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-4) at Tennessee Titans (4-0) This is a tough one, as there are good arguments for both sides. On one hand, this line has shifted significantly since the early line last week, with the Titans going from being favored by 7 to being favored by 3.5. Normally I…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-1) at San Francisco 49ers (2-3) The 49ers were embarrassed last week, losing at home in blowout fashion to a previously 1-win Dolphins team, by final score of 43-17. The good news is that teams tend to be a good value to bet on after a game…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0) The Steelers are undefeated, but I haven’t been that impressed by them. They rank just 13th in first down rate differential at +1.39% and all of their games have been competitive, even though they’ve played probably the easiest schedule in the league, with…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) The Jaguars were seen as probably the worst team in the league coming into the season, with some expecting them to not even win a game, but they surprised everyone with a week 1 victory over the Indianapolis Colts. The Jaguars have fallen…
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Continue reading →: Washington Mascots at New York Giants: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Washington Mascots (1-4) at New York Giants (0-5) These two teams have just one win between them but somehow this is a meaningful divisional game, in a division that is led by a 2-3 Cowboys team that just lost its starting quarterback for the season. Both of these teams are…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (0-5) at Minnesota Vikings (1-4) The Vikings are just 1-4, but they’ve played much better than their record has suggested. For one, their early schedule has been absolutely brutal, with their easiest game coming on the road in Houston against a Texans team that is also a lot…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 6 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (5-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) The Buccaneers have a pair of losses in their first five games, but they still rank 2nd in the NFL in first down rate differential at +5.19%. They won the first down rate battle by 8.18% in their first loss to…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN +7 @ SEA High Confidence Picks NO -7 vs. LAC Medium Confidence Picks HOU -5.5 vs. JAX ATL -1 vs. CAR PIT -7 vs. PHI TB -3.5 @ CHI Low Confidence Picks NYG +8.5 @ DAL LAR -7.5 @ WAS KC -11.5 vs. LV CIN…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans: 2020 Week 5 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-0) at Tennessee Titans (3-0) I think this game is finally safe to write up. A line was posted at Buffalo -3.5 and after two straight days of COVID negatives by the Titans, it seems likely that this game will take place, for the Titans their first game…