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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at New Orleans Saints (8-1) The Eagles have obviously gotten off to a disappointing start, going 4-5 a year after winning the Super Bowl. Last week was arguably their most disappointing loss, as they lost a key divisional game against the Cowboys at home as 7.5-point favorites.…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-4) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5) A week ago, both of these teams were high on my underrated list. The Colts are much healthier after being one of the most injury plagued teams in the league for the first half of the season and have a positive point differential…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) at New York Giants (2-7) The Buccaneers lost last week at home to the Redskins, falling to 3-6 on the season, but they’ve been better than their record suggests, as they rank 19th with a +0.15% first down rate. They’ve been killed by the turnover margin,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) I typically love going against significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play, and this game is no exception. Originally 3-point favorites on the early line last week, the Steelers are now 6-point favorites after…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Washington Redskins: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-3) at Washington Redskins (6-3) These two teams are both 6-3, but the Texans are by far the better team right now. On the season, they have a +32 point differential, as opposed to a +1 point differential for the Redskins. That’s despite the fact that the Redskins…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (5-3-1) at Chicago Bears (6-3) The Bears have quietly been one of the best teams in the league this season. Their 6-3 record is impressive, but they’ve been even better than that suggests. Their 3 losses have come by a combined 11 points and they rank 4th in…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-2) I’ve thought the Broncos are underrated for most of the season, as they are about even in point differential (-8), despite their 3-6 record, with 4 of their losses coming by a combined 16 points to the Texans, Rams, and Chiefs (twice),…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 11 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-4-1) at Seattle Seahawks (4-5) These two teams have similar records, but the Packers have been the better team this season, as the Seahawks have been overly reliant on winning the turnover margin. They are +8 on the season, tied for 3rd best in the NFL, but…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick Results
Week 10 Total Against the Spread: 8-6 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence Picks: 1-1 Medium Confidence Picks: 2-1 Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 4-2 Low Confidence Picks: 3-2 No Confidence Picks: 1-2 Upset Picks: 0-0 2018 Total Against the Spread: 89-56-3 (61.15%) Pick of the Week: 5-4-1…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 10 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CHI -6.5 vs. DET High Confidence Picks IND -2.5 vs. JAX TB -2.5 vs. WAS Medium Confidence Picks NYJ -7 vs. BUF CLE +6 vs. ATL ARZ +16.5 @ KC Low Confidence Picks PIT -3.5 vs. CAR NO -5.5 @ CIN PHI -7.5 vs. DAL GB…
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