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Continue reading →: New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
New York Giants (1-7) at San Francisco 49ers (2-7) This is a tough game to predict because I’m still not sure what to make of new 49ers quarterback Nick Mullens, a 2017 undrafted free agent who completed 16 of 22 for 262 yards and 3 touchdowns in his first NFL…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-7) at New York Jets (3-6) I was stalling this write up a little bit because I was hoping we’d get some word today on who the Bills will start under center this week. Derek Anderson remains out with a concussion, but regular starter Josh Allen got some…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (4-4) at Los Angeles Rams (8-1) The Rams have not had many blowout victories lately, with just one double digit win in their last 6 games. That’s understandable when you look at their schedule though. They’ve played just one of their last five games at home and their…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (6-2) at Oakland Raiders (1-7) This line shifted from Chargers -7.5 on the early line last week up to Chargers -10 this week. Typically I like going against significant week-to-week line movements like that, as they tend to be an overreaction to a single week of play,…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (5-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) The Redskins are 5-3, but are nowhere close to as good as their record. Their record is boosted by a 3-0 record in games decided by a touchdown or less and a +7 turnover margin, two things that are tough to maintain…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-2) at Tennessee Titans (4-4) The Titans had arguably their best performance of the year last week in Dallas, posting a +4.87% first down rate differential in a 28-14 road win on Monday Night Football. The Titans have had a strong defense all season, ranking 8th in…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-4) at Cleveland Browns (2-6-1) This line has moved significantly since the early line last week, as the Falcons have gone from being 1-point favorites to now being 6-point favorites. That’s a 5-point line movement that moves through key numbers of 3 and 4, the kind of line…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-4) at Green Bay Packers (3-4-1) The Dolphins managed just 7 first downs and 168 yards of offense at home last week against a mediocre Jets team, but managed to win by a touchdown because they won the turnover margin by 4 and got a defensive touchdown that…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (7-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) I’ve picked the Saints every week since week 3, after they got off to one of their typical slow starts (2-12 ATS in the first 2 games of the season since 2012, 56-38 ATS after week 2), and they’ve covered in all…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: 2018 Week 10 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-4) The Eagles have been on my underrated list for a few weeks, as I don’t think they’re really that much worse than last season. They are 4-4, but their 4 losses have come by a combined 15 points and they rank 3rd in…
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