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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
Week 1 Total Against the Spread: 10-5-1 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence Picks: 1-1 Medium Confidence Picks: 1-2 Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 3-3 Low Confidence Picks: 2-0 No Confidence Picks: 5-2-1 Upset Picks: 2-1-1 All-Time (Since 2013) Total Against the Spread: 701-613-37 (53.26%) Pick of the…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 1 NFL Picks
Instead of full write ups for my no confidence picks this week, I am doing short write ups here with links to my season previews. The previews are in depth and I don’t have much to say beyond that this week. I will have full write ups for all games…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0) The Ravens had the best point differential of any team that missed the playoffs in 2018, but they also faced a very easy schedule and benefitted from a league leading +17 turnover margin, which is tough to sustain on a year-to-year basis. Teams…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-0) The Titans made the post-season last season, but they were a major disappointment. On paper, they looked like one of the better teams in the AFC, but snuck into the post-season with just 9 wins, despite a 6-4 record in games decided by…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Detroit Lions: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0) The Lions have gone 9-7 in back-to-back seasons, but they have struggled against playoff opponents, going just 1-11 against teams that went on to make the postseason. The flip side of that is that they’ve been close to automatic against non-playoff teams,…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (0-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-0) The Cowboys come into the season as shorthanded as any team in the league. The big loss is center Travis Frederick, who remains out indefinitely with a rare illness, but the Cowboys are also without safety Xavier Woods due to injury and will…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New England Patriots: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-0) at New England Patriots (0-0) The Texans are a little bit overrated coming into the season. They have a huge upside and will obviously be better than last season, with the return of key players like Deshaun Watson, JJ Watt, and Whitney Mercilus from injury, but I…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0) When I first looked at the week 1 lines back in late July, Cincinnati +3 at Indianapolis caught my eye immediately and I locked a small bet in at that number. The line has since shifted to +2, so I don’t like the…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at New York Giants (0-0) The Jaguars won 10 games last season and they were even more dominant than that suggests, as they finished 2nd in first down rate differential, 3rd in point differential, and came within a few plays of making the Super Bowl. It helped…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2018 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-0) The Steelers went 13-3 last season, but were not as good as their record suggested, as they went 8-2 in games decided by 7 points or fewer. They especially struggled down the stretch, winning just 2 games by more than 4 points in…
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