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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-1) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2) The Cowboys went 12-4 last year, but did not enter the 2017 season with as talented of a team, after losing 2 key starters on their offensive line and several key members of their secondary this off-season, and then losing top interior…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) The Patriots lost last week at home to the Panthers 33-30 on a last second field goal, after the Patriots tied it up in the 4th with back-to-back touchdown drives. Historically, the Patriots have been a great bet after a loss…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 37-26 Against the Spread: 34-29 Pick of the Week: 2-2 High Confidence: 4-3 Medium Confidence: 9-9 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 15-14 Low Confidence: 9-7 No Confidence: 10-8 Upset Picks: 4-4 Since 2013 Straight Up: 713-414-4 (63.22%) Against the Spread: 586-517-28 (53.05%) Pick of the Week:…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) The Chiefs have gotten off to a hot start, winning each of their first 3 games. The most surprising part is how they’ve done it. The Chiefs have been a defense first team for several years, but they rank 2nd in first…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (2-1) The Lions are 2-1 and were literally inches away from beating the Falcons and going to 3-0 last week, but they rank 29th in first down rate differential (-6.54%), as they have allowed 12 more first downs than they’ve picked up. Despite their…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (1-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-2) This is one of the toughest games of the week to predict against the spread. The Seahawks are favored by 12.5 and I have this line calculated at -13.5 because the Colts are one of the least talented teams in the league and…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) The Rams are a little bit of an overrated team. They’re definitely better than they were last season, with an improved offensive talent around an improved Jared Goff, but I think the general public overestimates how much better. In my roster rankings,…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-3) at Arizona Cardinals (1-2) The Cardinals finished the 2015 season #1 in first down rate differential when they finished 13-3 and then they finished #1 in that metric again in 2016, despite going 7-8-1, as they could have easily won 10-12 games if not for numerous…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) The Ravens won their first 2 games by final scores of 20-0 and 24-10, but they got destroyed last week in London 44-7 by the Jaguars. Many people are chalking that up to the Ravens being unprepared to play in London, but there…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-3) at Cleveland Browns (0-3) After not scoring a touchdown in either of their first 2 games, the Bengals nearly beat the Packers in Green Bay last week, taking a 21-7 lead early before eventually losing in overtime. The Browns, meanwhile, blew their first opportunity to be road…
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