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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New England Patriots: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1) Ordinarily, you have to pay a pretty high premium to bet on the Patriots at home. As a result, they are just 21-21 ATS as home favorites of 7.5 or more over the past 8 seasons, despite going 35-7 straight up in…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) Last week, when I looked at the early lines, Philadelphia -3 at home for the Giants was one of my favorites. The Eagles are legitimately one of the most talented teams in the entire league and have a great chance to win…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-1) The Broncos pulled off the shocker of the week last week, demolishing the Dallas Cowboys by the final score of 42-17 as home underdogs. The casual public seems to have taken notice as the Broncos are one of the highest bet teams of…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-0) at New York Jets (0-2) Both of these teams are in tough spots here this week. The Dolphins travel to London to face the Saints next week and teams understandably seem to struggle before London trips, going 11-21 ATS all-time. Making matters worse, they had to play…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-2) at Indianapolis Colts (0-2) The Colts have been one of the worst teams in the league this season, but injuries are the major reason why. Obviously the injury to Andrew Luck is the big one, but they’re also missing top cornerback Vontae Davis, talented hybrid safety/linebacker Clayton…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (0-2) The Chargers haven’t won a game yet, but enter this game 5th in first down rate differential at +7.26%, trailing only four 2-0 teams (Carolina, Denver, Oakland, Baltimore). The Chargers have moved the ball well, but have failed to close out…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (2-0) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) in London The Ravens have been the most banged up team in the league all season in terms of number of guys on injured reserve, but they have managed to start the season 2-0. That’s partially because of weak competition (Cincinnati and Cleveland),…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at Green Bay Packers (1-1) The Bengals have famously not scored a touchdown yet this season, picking up just 26 first downs on 120 plays in the process (21.67%). However, there are reasons to be optimistic about this offense. For one, they’ve fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at San Francisco 49ers (0-2) This is one of the least enticing games of the week from both a watching and a betting standpoint. I typically don’t like betting on Thursday night games. They are more unpredictable than regular games because neither team is able to…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 20-11 Against the Spread: 15-16 Pick of the Week: 1-1 High Confidence: 3-2 Medium Confidence: 4-4 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 8-7 Low Confidence: 4-4 No Confidence: 3-5 Upset Picks: 2-3 Since 2013 Straight Up: 696-399-4 (63.51%) Against the Spread: 567-504-28 (52.87%) Pick of the Week:…
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