-
Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) at Carolina Panthers (3-5) Ordinarily, I love fading significant week-to-week line movements, as they tend to be overreactions to a single week of play. This line has moved from 2.5 in favor of the Panthers on the early line last week to 3 this week, which…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-7) at Arizona Cardinals (3-4-1) The Cardinals have been one of the most underrated teams in the league this season. I didn’t bet heavily on them in their last game as 3 point underdogs in Carolina because they were coming off of a 5-quarter tie (which is…
-
Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (7-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4) The Cowboys enter this game with the best record in the NFC at 7-1 and rank 2nd in the NFL in first down rate differential. They’ve had a relatively easy schedule thus far, as they rank dead last in strength of schedule, in…
-
Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) The Texans are 5-3, but rank just 25th in first down rate percentage. That’s because their 5 wins have come by a combined 33 points, while their 3 losses have come by a combined 63 points. Their -30 point differential is also just…
-
Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (3-4-1) at New York Giants (5-3) This is a line I legitimately don’t understand. As a result of injuries and off-season losses, the Bengals are not the same team they were last season. They enter this game 15th in first down rate differential, a little better than 3-4-1…
-
Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-4) at Tennessee Titans (4-5) The Titans may be just 4-5, but they actually rank 7th in the NFL in first down rate differential. They’ve been competitive in every game and have a -9 point differential on the season, despite being -7 in return touchdown differential. Aside…
-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (5-2-1) at New England Patriots (7-1) Despite a strong 5-2-1 record, the Seahawks have been underwhelming through their first 8 games of the season. Their tie would have been a loss if not for a number of fluky special teams mistakes by the Cardinals, while their only 2…
-
Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (6-3) at New Orleans Saints (4-4) This line has shifted significantly in the past week, as the Broncos were favored by a point on the early line, but are now 3 point road favorites in New Orleans. It’s a somewhat understandable line movement. The Saints have won 4…
-
Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-9) at Baltimore Ravens (4-4) The Browns are arguably the worst team in the league and certainly one of the worst two or three teams, but this line is way too high at 10. The Ravens are a solid squad, but have the worst offense in the league…
-
Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 9 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-4) The bye came at the perfect time for the Steelers. Not only is Ben Roethlisberger expected to return from a 1-game absence with a knee injury, but they are basically 100% healthy coming out of the bye. This is after the Steelers were…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
