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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 8 NFL Pick
New York Jets (2-5) at Cleveland Browns (0-7) The Browns host the NFC leading Cowboys next week, a game in which the early line has them as 7 point home underdogs. Teams tend to struggle before being big home underdogs, going 95-173 ATS since 2008 before being home underdogs of…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2016 Week 8 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (5-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) The Raiders were one of my underrated teams coming into the season but, despite a 5-2 start, I’ve been very disappointed with them. Their record is misleading as their point differential is just +6 and they rank just 27th in first down…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 8 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-3) This line was 2.5 in favor of the Falcons on the early line last week, but the line has since risen to 3. That’s despite the fact that Green Bay won easily over the Bears, while the Falcons lost at home to…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 8 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (4-1-1) at New Orleans Saints (2-4) The Seahawks are 4-1-1, but have been underwhelming this season. Their defense has been fantastic once again, entering this game 2nd in first down percentage allowed, but their offense ranks just 29th in first down percentage and is coming off of a…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 8 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) at Tennessee Titans (3-4) The Titans may be just 3-3, but they actually rank 4th in the NFL in first down percentage differential. They’ve been competitive in every game and have a -15 point differential on the season, despite being -5 in return touchdown differential. Aside from…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers: Week 7 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3) at San Francisco 49ers (1-5) The 49ers are one of the worst teams in the league and there are very few teams I’d predict them to defeat, but I think the Buccaneers might be one. The Buccaneers enter in 28th in first down percentage differential and…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 7 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (5-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) The Patriots really lucked out by getting the Steelers at a time in which they’re incredibly banged up. The biggest injury is the one that has Ben Roethlisberger out for at least this week and likely several weeks. Instead, backup Landry Jones…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 7 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (2-4) at Atlanta Falcons (4-2) I’m torn on this one. On one hand, the Chargers are in a tough spot. Because of a weird scheduling quirk, this road game against the Falcons is wedged between two meetings in a three week period with division rival Denver on…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 7 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (4-1) at Arizona Cardinals (3-3) The Seahawks have a better record than the Cardinals, but the Cardinals have a first down percentage differential of 7.67% (best in the NFL) and a point differential of +49 (6th best in the NFL), while the Seahawks have a first down percentage…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 7 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (2-4) at Tennessee Titans (3-3) The Titans may be just 3-3, but they actually rank 2nd in the NFL in first down percentage differential. They’ve been competitive in every game and have a -7 point differential on the season, despite being -4 in return touchdown differential. Aside from…