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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 3 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-0) at New England Patriots (2-0) Last week, the early line was 3.5 in favor of the hometown New England Patriots. When I saw that, my first thought was New England was likely to cover. Home non-divisional favorites on Thursday nights are 34-16 ATS since 1989. Thursday night…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (1-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-1) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against week-to-week overreactions, so I always check to see how much the line has changed since the early line the previous week. Sometimes big line movements make sense, but often they…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-1) at Detroit Lions (1-0) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against week-to-week overreactions, so I always check to see how much the line has changed since the early line the previous week. Sometimes big line movements make sense, but often they…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Minnesota Vikings (1-0) This is one of the tougher calls of the week for me. Minnesota is still a solid team despite losing Teddy Bridgewater, but they are also missing defensive starters Xavier Rhodes and Sharrif Floyd and quarterback Sam Bradford is going into his…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (0-1) at Denver Broncos (1-0) Coming into the season, I thought the Colts were one of the most overrated teams in the league. They get Andrew Luck back after an 8-8 2015 season, but their passing offense wasn’t the problem last season, as Matt Hasselbeck was serviceable until…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-1) The Cardinals lost in upset fashion to the Patriots last week, but could have easily won that game if they hadn’t missed a 47-yard field goal at the end of the game. They actually slightly outplayed the Patriots, moving the chains at…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-1) at New England Patriots (1-0) The Dolphins are in a much better spot than the Patriots here, as they have arguably the easiest game of their season on deck, a home game against the Browns in which they’re favored by a touchdown in the early line, while…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at Houston Texans (1-0) The Texans are in a tough spot this week, as they’re favored by 2 at home against the Chiefs, but have to turn around and play in New England in 4 days after this game on Thursday Night Football, a game in…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-1) Coming into the season, I had the Rams as one of the worst teams in the league. They won 7 games last season, but they also needed good luck in close games to even go 7-9. Of those 7 wins, 5 came…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (0-1) at Oakland Raiders (1-0) The Raiders won a crazy shootout in come-from-behind fashion last week in New Orleans, winning 35-34 in a game that had a combined 993 total yards of offense. The Raiders moved the chains at an impressive 82.86% rate, just slightly better than the…
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