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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-1) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against week-to-week overreactions, so I always check to see how much the line has changed since the early line the previous week. Sometimes big line movements make sense, but often…
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Continue reading →: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
Straight Up: 9-7 Against the spread: 8-8 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-1 Medium Confidence: 3-2 Low Confidence: 2-2 No Confidence: 1-3 Upset Picks: 4-4
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) The Packers are normally a much better team at home than on the road, but I actually like them on the road this week, as 5.5 point favorites in Jacksonville. Jacksonville is improved, but is likely still at least a year away…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0) The Bengals were one of the best teams in the league last season before Andy Dalton went down with an injury. Dalton is now healthy, but doesn’t have the same team around him. The Bengals lost 2 of Dalton’s top-3 wide receivers…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) When this line opened at 6, I was thinking I was likely going to take New England. It probably wouldn’t have been for any money, but they had a good team around the quarterback and seemed like they could have made it…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0) Here’s another line that started at 3 and then moved, but this one has actually moved up to 3.5. When the line was originally at 3, it was a tough line because these two teams are both more or less equal. I have…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0) When I saw this line was at 3 in favor of the home team Atlanta Falcons earlier this week, I immediately sided with the Buccaneers. It might not have been enough to put money on it, but a 3-point line suggests that…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) As weird as it might sound, the Cowboys have had trouble at home in recent years, especially as home favorites. In fact, they’re 8-26 ATS as home favorites since 2010. They’re only favored by one point here (it’s also a pick ‘em…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Houston Texans: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) There are a few games this week where I think the line is too high and the underdog has a good chance to win. I think this line is too high at 6 in favor of Houston, but I still expect the Texans…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) The Vikings caught a tough break when quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffered a brutal knee injury in practice with less than 2 weeks before the first game of the season. Bridgewater dislocated his knee, tore his ACL, suffered additional ligament damage, and is out…
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