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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at New York Giants: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-1) at New York Giants (1-0) The Saints’ defense was bad last week, allowing 35 points, 486 yards of offense, and 82.86% rate of moving the chains at home against an Oakland team with a solid, but unspectacular offense. However, their defense could be even worse this…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Chicago Bears (0-1) Coming into the season, I thought the Eagles were one of the most underrated teams in the league. Even after trading Sam Bradford to the Vikings, their 3.5 point week 1 line at home against the Browns didn’t make any sense and neither…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) at San Diego Chargers (0-1) Before the season started, the Chargers were one of the teams I expected to have a significant jump in wins this season, after winning just 4 in 2015. That theory was based on the assumptions that the Chargers would have better luck…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-1) The 49ers technically pulled the upset victory at home as 2.5 point underdogs against the Rams last week, but that shouldn’t really be considered an upset as the Rams are just as bad as the 49ers are, probably even worse if last…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) The Steelers got a huge 38-16 win in Washington on Monday Night Football week 1, led by an offense that moved the chains at an 82.35% rate. They seem to have picked up right where they left off last season when Ben Roethlisberger…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (0-1) at Washington Redskins (0-1) The Cowboys lost a very close one at home last week to the Giants, losing 20-19 in a game in which they actually moved the chains at a better rate than their opponents (78.13% to 77.78%). The Cowboys have not had much homefield…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 2 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (0-1) One of my favorite things to do as a bettor is go against week-to-week overreactions, so I always check to see how much the line has changed since the early line the previous week. Sometimes big line movements make sense, but often…
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Continue reading →: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
Straight Up: 9-7 Against the spread: 8-8 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-1 Medium Confidence: 3-2 Low Confidence: 2-2 No Confidence: 1-3 Upset Picks: 4-4
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) The Packers are normally a much better team at home than on the road, but I actually like them on the road this week, as 5.5 point favorites in Jacksonville. Jacksonville is improved, but is likely still at least a year away…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0) The Bengals were one of the best teams in the league last season before Andy Dalton went down with an injury. Dalton is now healthy, but doesn’t have the same team around him. The Bengals lost 2 of Dalton’s top-3 wide receivers…