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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0) When this line opened at 6, I was thinking I was likely going to take New England. It probably wouldn’t have been for any money, but they had a good team around the quarterback and seemed like they could have made it…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0) Here’s another line that started at 3 and then moved, but this one has actually moved up to 3.5. When the line was originally at 3, it was a tough line because these two teams are both more or less equal. I have…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0) When I saw this line was at 3 in favor of the home team Atlanta Falcons earlier this week, I immediately sided with the Buccaneers. It might not have been enough to put money on it, but a 3-point line suggests that…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0) As weird as it might sound, the Cowboys have had trouble at home in recent years, especially as home favorites. In fact, they’re 8-26 ATS as home favorites since 2010. They’re only favored by one point here (it’s also a pick ‘em…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Houston Texans: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0) There are a few games this week where I think the line is too high and the underdog has a good chance to win. I think this line is too high at 6 in favor of Houston, but I still expect the Texans…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) The Vikings caught a tough break when quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffered a brutal knee injury in practice with less than 2 weeks before the first game of the season. Bridgewater dislocated his knee, tore his ACL, suffered additional ligament damage, and is out…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0) This line is at 3, which suggests these two teams are even. I disagree. The Lions finished last season just 7-9, but won 6 of their final 8 games and it easily could have been 7 if not for the longest game winning…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New Orleans Saints: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-0) at New Orleans Saints (0-0) Almost every season, one team goes from out of the playoffs to a first round bye. The Raiders are my pick to do that this year, or at least come close. A young team that has drafted well over the past few…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) When the Eagles traded away Sam Bradford 8 days before the start of the season last Saturday, that dropped this spread from 6.5 or 7 to 3.5, where it still stands now. Trading away Bradford definitely hurts this team, as you hate switching…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 1 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0) Most of my top picks this week are underdogs, but here’s a favorite that seems to be undervalued for some reason. The Seahawks are 10.5 point favorites, which might seem like a lot, but it’s not when you consider how much better Seattle…
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