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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at St. Louis Rams: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-8) at St. Louis Rams (4-8) Everything about this game screams to me to take St. Louis and the field goal. The Rams have gone from 2 point home favorites to field goal home underdogs in a week, from the early line last week to the line this…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (10-2) The Steelers had a big week last week. Not only did they big win, 45-10, over a competent Indianapolis team, but the Seattle Seahawks won big (38-7) on the road in Minnesota, against a solid Vikings team, so the Steelers’ loss the week…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) The Colts lost in Pittsburgh 45-10 last week, but still rank 16th in rate of moving the chains differential, as opposed to 28th. Given that, I think we’re getting at least some line value with the Colts as 1 point underdogs. That’s no…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (4-8) at Cleveland Browns (2-10) The Browns have the league’s worst record, so the public seems to be confused why they’re favored here, at home against the 49ers, as the public is all over the visitor. I’m confused why they’re not favored by more. They were favored…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Saints 26-19 as 10 point underdogs in New Orleans earlier this year. However, there are two reasons why the Saints could easily get revenge. For one, they’re in a great spot as divisional road underdogs…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-8) The Seahawks are just 7-5, but they’ve lost to tough opponents like the Packers, Bengals, Cardinals, and Panthers (all 4 losses were within 10 points) and they’ve won 5 of their last 6. The Seahawks are relatively healthy right now. They’re missing defensive…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (3-9) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-5) The Chargers are just 3-9, one of the worst records in the NFL, but rank 14th in rate of moving the chains differential. How can that be? Well, their record is largely the result of a 3-5 record in games decided…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (5-7) at Chicago Bears (5-7) The Bears rank just 24th in rate of moving the chains, but have been better when Jay Cutler has been healthy this season. In Cutler’s 10 starts, they’ve moved the chains at a 71.60% rate, as opposed to 56.25% in the 2 games Cutler…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (6-6) at Carolina Panthers (12-0) The Falcons have lost 5 straight games and 6 of 7 since starting 5-0, to drop them down to 6-6. They still rank 12th in rate of moving the chains differential, but it has to be mentioned that the Falcons have played arguably…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: 2015 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (3-9) at New York Jets (7-5) The Titans are coming off of a win, their 3rd of the season and an impressive offensive performance in a 42-39 victory. Despite having one of the worst records in the league for the 2nd straight year, the Titans are above the…