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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Baltimore Ravens (5-8) This has been the season from hell for the Ravens. After going 11-5, winning a playoff game, and finishing the season 3rd in rate of moving the chains differential a year ago, the Ravens lost outside linebacker Pernell McPhee, defensive tackle Haloti Ngata,…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (10-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-9) The 49ers are the worst team in rate of moving the chains differential by a mile, coming in at -11.92%, while no one else is worse than -7.14%. That was on display last week, as they lost 24-10 in Cleveland, against a…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (5-8) at Minnesota Vikings (8-5) This line is way too high at 6. The Vikings are 8-5, but they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 because of a tougher schedule, including two losses by 17 or more, and they rank 16th in rate of moving the chains differential.…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Washington Redskins: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-7) at Washington Redskins (6-7) The Bills are in a good spot here this week, hosting the Cowboys next week, while the Redskins have a key divisional matchup in Philadelphia, which could decide the division. All games are important for the Redskins going forward, as they’re currently locked…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (10-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) The Steelers are on fire right now. They’ve been fantastic since Ben Roethlisberger came back from injury. They lost to Cincinnati and Seattle, but both of those games were close and both of those opponents are very tough. They also beat Cincinnati in…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at New York Giants: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (13-0) at New York Giants (6-7) The Panthers are 13-0, but don’t expect them to take their foot off their gas, at least not this week and, if their rhetoric is to be believed, not at any point. This week, they can clinch a first round bye with…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-8) at San Diego Chargers (3-10) The Chargers are just 3-10, one of the worst records in the NFL, but rank 14th in rate of moving the chains differential. How can that be? Well, their record is largely the result of a 3-6 record in games decided by…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Seattle Seahawks: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (3-10) at Seattle Seahawks (8-5) The Seahawks’ home dominance is well documented. Since 2007, they are 54-23 at home (outscoring opponents by an average of 7.77 points per game), as opposed to 31-45 on the road (getting outscored by an average of 1.72 points per game). However, their…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Oakland Raiders: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (9-4) at Oakland Raiders (6-7) The public is all over the Packers this week, as 3.5 point favorites in Oakland. That’s not a surprise. Betting that the Packers will beat the Raiders by 4 or more points must seem like free money to a lot of people.…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 15 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (4-9) at New York Jets (8-5) The Jets are favored by 4 points here in Dallas, but I think that’s too low. The Jets are sneakily one of the better teams in the NFL. They rank 6th in rate of moving the chains differential and, now with center…