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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-3) at Chicago Bears (3-5) This is one of the toughest calls of the week because there aren’t any trends related to this game and the line is right about where it should be, favoring the visiting Dolphins by 4.5 points. The Dolphins only have two more wins…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at Washington Commanders (4-4) Going into the season, the Vikings were one of my top underrated teams and I expected a significant improvement in win total from their 7-9 and 8-9 finishes from the previous two seasons, due to better coaching on offense and likely better health…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) This is a matchup of the previous two Super Bowl winners and a rematch of a divisional round game from a year ago when the eventual champion Rams barely got the best of the Buccaneers, in a matchup between a 12-win…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) Both of these two teams are 5-2, but they have arrived at that point in very different ways. While all five of the Titans’ wins have come by close margins, with no double digit victories, the Chiefs have three double digit victories…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) at New England Patriots (4-4) The Patriots have struggled on offense this season, ranking 28th in schedule adjusted efficiency, but they’re at least somewhat better in my roster rankings, about a half point below average on offense, while their defense and special teams rank 11th and 7th…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-1) at New York Jets (5-3) The Jets are 5-3, but are 11.5-point home underdogs against the Bills, the first time a team has been home underdogs of 11 points or more despite a record 5-3 or better since the 2007 Giants were 10-5 against the undefeated New…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-5) The Ravens are 5-3 and they could easily be even better than that, blowing big leads in all three of their losses and ranking 2nd in time leading, only behind the undefeated Eagles. In terms of schedule adjusted efficiency, the Ravens rank…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-5) at Detroit Lions (1-6) The Packers have started 3-5, a year after going 13-4, but their drop off isn’t all that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, despite an MVP season from Aaron…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-4) The Bengals have been better than their 4-4 record this season, with a +22 point differential and an 8th ranked schedule adjusted efficiency, three points above average. However, they are one of the most injury affected teams in the league right now, missing…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 9 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-4) Coming into the season, I thought the Chargers were one of the most talented teams in the league, but they have been arguably the most injury affected team in the league since then, with several key players missing extended time. While center…